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16 June 2021
09:37 hour

Why Would Price Go Down if Inflow is Consistently Higher Than Outflow?

Reddit Stocks

10/06/2021 - 19:43

I jumped on the stock bandwagon/hive mind in late Jan/early Feb so I’m new to the stock thing and have been trying to understand how everything works ever since. One question I haven’t been able to find and answer or explanation for is Inflow and Outflow. For example on the AMC stock according to the Webull app the Inflow is consistently greater than the outflow but the price of the stock still drops at times. Inflow vs outflow surely can’t be the only factor I’m that determines a stock price but the basics tell me when there’s more people buying (inflow) the price goes up and more people selling (outflow) price goes down. So if there’s more people buying all the time wouldn’t the price move up a lot more? Whenever I ask this I get one word answers like “manipulation” “dark pools” “hedgies”. I’d like better explanations though or at least more detailed. Seems too simple an answer to be strictly manipulation.   submitted by   /u/GNTsquid0 [link]   [comments]


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  42. BIGC earnings on May 11, could see a recovery from recent slide (09/05/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    BIGC is an e-commerce company that competes with SHOP. The difference between BIGC and SHOP is that BIGC targets large companies and is more focused on customization of their shop front. BIGC has recently been clobbered by the tech company bear market, seeing a price slide to ATL, well below its IPO opening price. The IPO was priced at $25, BIGC started trading at $80, and after some peaks to $120, its been on a slide consistently down where it has now settled at $48. So really, $25 --> $48 in the ultra-realitic case. BIGC saw a small jump in its price after releasing its earnings on February 26, but returned back to its slide since then. https://investors.bigcommerce.com/node/7361/html#ITEM_8_FINANCIAL_STATEMENTS_SUPPLEMENTAR In 2020, they saw 45% profit growth over 2019, which is a big jump from 2018-->2019. At their current price point, they have a P/S of 21, which is on the low end for a tech e-comm company, especially since the comparisons to SHOP are direct. SHOP comparatively is at a PS of 40. Now, here's the interesting risk/reward part. BIGC is trading at a level where a strong revenue beat, and projections of 50% revenue growth YoY could drive up the stock price with a 50% upside potential. Here's my logic: Current P/S is 21 with a current revenue of $152M in 2020. Growth from 2019 to 2020 was 50%. So right now, it seems that revenue growth has not been factored into the price yet, and BIGC is in undervalued territory. If BIGC sees revenue in Q1 of $55M, that means they're on track to hit $220M for 2021, which is 50% revenue growth from 2020 to 2021. If that happens, BIGC now enters a trajectory to justify BOTH a higher multiplier (like SHOP) and a price increase based on the current multiplier. BUT, here's the risk part. If BIGC misses revenue, and only gets revenue of $40M, I expect its stock to crash all the way to $25. BIGC is at ATL, and the only support below its current price is at $25 which was the IPO price. So the downside right now is 50% loss vs 50% gain. It almost feels like a blackjack hand. Its also important to note that BIGC missed revenue in Q4 by 10%, coming in at $32M instead of $38M estimate. So maybe the dreams of a $55M quarter may be aspirational.   submitted by   /u/radarbot [link]   [comments]
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  43. Q4 earnings: L&T net rises 3% to Rs 3,293 crore; fresh orders stay under pressure (14/05/2021 - Financial Express)
    International orders at Rs 18,439 crore made up 36% of the total order inflow, with receipt of biggest Solar PV plant order and transmission line orders.
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  44. How do stock orders get eventually fulfilled when placed during a holiday? (02/04/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    I've searched this Reddit and Googled it, and I can't seem to find an answer. I see that during holidays, the stock markets are closed, so orders won't fulfill. But if an order is placed on a holiday, when is the earliest it will fulfill? And what exactly determines the price the stock will be at that point? For example, TSLA reported higher than expected deliveries. One may want to buy some of their stock, but the markets are closed until Monday morning. If one placed a limit order at $658 (the last price in Thursday's AM) right now on a holiday, what determines if it goes through on Monday or not? Would one want to place a higher limit price to make sure it goes through? Thank you for helping me understand, fellow investors!   submitted by   /u/johndubya [link]   [comments]
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  45. Vaccine stocks analysis - $MRNA vs $BNTX (30/04/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Vaccine stock analysis $BNTX Av Est. EPS: $32.07 (‘21) & $18.69 (‘22) Av Est. Revenue: $12.29B (‘21) & $7.73B (‘22) Market Cap @ SP 180: $42.3B P/E @ SP 180: 9.63 (based on ‘22 EPS) $MRNAAv Est. EPS: $23.27 (‘21) & $16.58 (‘22)Av Est. Revenue: $17.46B (‘21) & $13.69B (‘22)Market Cap @ SP 180: $72.2BP/E @ SP 180: 10.88 (based on ‘22 EPS) Looks like market is grossly underestimating revenue & EPS for $BNTX. Once these figures become clear, there has to be a major price correction. If $BNTX has higher revenue and higher earnings than $MRNA it should have a higher market cap, so price should be more than 2x that of $MRNA. If $MRNA is trading at $200, $BNTX should be trading at $400. Massive opportunity sitting right in front of us with little or no risk considering that every major country is locking in future Pfizer-BionTech vaccine supplies.   submitted by   /u/No-Peach-4319 [link]   [comments]
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  46. Whats the difference between Limit Price, Stop-Limit Price,Stop-Loss Price? (21/04/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Are all able to be used for both buying and selling? From what I know, limit pricing for buying means you set a price and if the market price falls to ur limit price or below, it will help you to buy the stock. As for selling, if the market price rises to ur limit price or above, it will help you to sell the stock? Assuming there is enough liquidity in the market. Stop-Loss Price is to set a price whereby if the market price drops to that level, you will want to sell the stock no matter what. So let say I set it at $90, and the market price plummeted to $85, and there is only liquidity at $85 but no one wants to buy at $90, it will help me to sell at $85? Does this mean no matter how much the market plummet to, as long as the market price drops below $90, at a price with enough liquidity, it will help me sell? How does Stop-Loss Price apply when buying? Stop-Limit Price is just Stop-Loss Price with a limit pricing? So if I set my Stop-Loss Price at $90, at any price below or at $90, it will trigger the Stop-Loss Price? But can I put my Limit Price both higher or lower than my Stop-Loss Price? So if I put my Limit Price at $92, once the market rises back to $92 or above from $90 and below when the Stop-Loss Price was triggered, it will help me sell my shares? What if the price never goes back up to $90 and above? Does my stock never get sold? So shouldnt I set my Limit Price at $88, whereby once the Stop-Loss Price is triggered at $90, it will help me sell my shares at $88 and above? Also, how does this apply to the context of buying? Thank you!   submitted by   /u/pieceofshitzo [link]   [comments]
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  47. $ZKIN we look for a correction higher, possibly testing $5.40. (10/05/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Since the last 15m outlook the price of ZKIN has fell by 6% as it's being valued slightly above $5 per share. We've expected in our previous analysis that the price will move towards a test of $5.60, which break of could easily reach $6 per share. At first try, the price action wasn't able to break above previous local high at $5.47, causing the price to test the support of the flag pattern. Support failed to hold and the price broke below it, however this dip attracted buyers and a break of $5.60 happened. The break of $5.60 led to extended gains to almost $6 per share, as gains were capped at $5.97. Impressive volume has arrived, however the price action wasn't able to sustain above bespoke resistance at $5.60, which led to a selloff. Currently the price is still under selling pressure and has created a new lower low at $5.06, luckily just a $0.03 lower than the previous one so nothing too significant. As long as we don't see a drop below $4.80, the price should just be fine. Current price action won't tell us anything about possible reversal, however the 5 minute time frame seems to be forming a falling wedge, which we've seen previously. RSI is creating a bullish divergence, an inconsistency between the oscillator and the price action. The price action has created a lower low while the oscillator created a higher one. This fact is pointing towards a correction to the upside to occur. MACD is in a really significant selling wave, however such strong pressure has never been able to sustain for an extended period of time base on the chart history. We look for selling volume to falter from now on. Overall trend unfortunately wasn't able to sustain in uptrend as the price broke below both 20 and 50 EMA, meaning the short term is a strong downtrend, but an overextended one calling for an oversold correction to the upside. In conclusion, we look for a correction higher, possibly testing $5.40.   submitted by   /u/BreianaOlson [link]   [comments]
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  48. S&P 500 (02/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    The S&P 500 is hanging on to the March trend-line, barely. I’ve admittedly been back-and-forth on the SPX this week and the unfolding of the Reverse Symmetrical Triangle (RST). The thing that has been firm is the importance of the long-term trend-line. With that, price is close to breaking it, and if it does, then the RST sequence discussed on Monday will be in play – decline off high, bounce, break the low of the first decline. This will have both the desired RST price sequence and March trend-line broken, the ideal scenario for would-be sellers. On a break below 3805, the first level of meaningful support clocks in at 3694, but as is the case with the NDX a broader target is in mind. The rising 200-day is currently at 3442, but will be higher by the time price meets it. How much higher will depend on how quickly the market declines, if it does.   submitted by   /u/Jackmor4 [link]   [comments]
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  49. US vs. International, Stocks/ ETFs vs. Bonds... help me understand performance chasing here (07/04/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    First off... i KNOW i cant predict the market which is why i no longer hold any ETFs and only hold ETFs. For reference my current portfolio is VTI- 57.5% SCHD-10% QQQM- 10% (aka QQQ) SCHF- 10% (International) QQQJ- 7.5% VWO- 5% (International emerging market) But if the US has consistently out performed the International for 120 years (a statement from another post...) are you really going to allocate 20-40% of your portfolio just as a what if? I dont understand the thats performance chasing when a fund has consistently out performed (its not like we are suggesting ARK which had one killer year...). How is it performance chasing to buy into US market when it is consistently a few % higher return? Are you really going to allocate 20-40% of your portfolio to a lower % return in hopes that one or two of those years it does better? What about the other years where us out performs again? Are you going to wish you had such a high weight International? Definitely not. I have 15% to International right now and SERIOUSLY struggle with it. I struggle with this when people say QQQ is performance chasing... QQQ has out performed VTI/ VT for the last 10+ years by usually a large amount. Why wouldnt you invest at least a small % in that? Sure tech isnt going to run like 2020 but itll still run consistently for many years. Even after this correction we just had QQQ is performing like its old self. Then VTI vs. SCHD.... this one i can see the performance chasing aspect cause its only outperformed VTI for 3 years but has outperformed VT for 5+ (no further back data on etf.com). I struggle with this and bonds too... take a fund like BND which many hold/ recommend. VTI has performed 3x-5x it depending on the year. I get that some use this as a play so the money is in the market and lower risk of losing money as they get older so that if they need to pull it they can hopefully be green. But whats the point of taking a risk (especially in 2021) of taking the risk of investing in the bond market which could do something crazy and go negative for a measily 2% return? I wanna learn and understand but like i said i feel like the well you cant predict the market or you are performance chasing is super hypocritical and is used to make sense of holdings International. Maybe im just naive? If we cant use the 10+ years of performance as a benchmark what are we supposed to use?   submitted by   /u/DaddyDersch [link]   [comments]
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