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16 June 2021
09:29 hour

Beta-Controlled Options Portfolio

INO.com

18/05/2021 - 17:23

Controlling portfolio beta (a measure of volatility or systemic/market risk of a portfolio compared to the market on the whole) while generating the same or superior returns can be achieved with options. A beta-controlled portfolio can be achieved via a blended approach where 50% cash is held in conjunction with long index-based equities and an […] The post Beta-Controlled Options Portfolio appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog.


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    We have all seen it. SPY drops 2% and then there is a barrage of posts and comments about how it’s due to manipulation/next recession/long-overdue correction etc. I wanted to understand what causes such extreme reactions over small drops in SPY. There might be multiple reasons as mentioned in other posts such as inexperienced investors/lesser time in the market/volatile portfolio. While the first two cannot be proven analytically, we can definitely verify the volatile portfolio concept. For this, first, we have to understand Beta. Put simply, Beta is the measure of the volatility of a stock in relation to the overall market. If we consider SPY as the benchmark, Beta of SPY would be 1. A high-risk tech company with a Beta of 1.75 would be more volatile than the market. I.e., if SPY returns 10% in one week, the company is expected to return 17.5% (75% more than SPY). But, this works both ways. If SPY drops 10%, the stock will drop 17.5%. Herein lies the problem. Here is the list of most discussed stocks last month, along with their Beta values. https://preview.redd.it/fuicageu63z61.png?width=623&format=png&auto=webp&s=6487e65e9c213b9a98a533bce2610757a716aa08 As you can see, almost all of the popular stocks in social media have extreme volatility. For e.g., PLTR has a Beta of 9.6! This means that the stock will drop a whopping 9.6% for every 1% drop in the market. For analysis purposes, I am creating an equally distributed portfolio of these 9 stocks (Coinbase is not considered as it has not been trading long enough to calculate Beta). The average Beta of this portfolio is 3.14! This implies that if SPY drops a mere 3% your portfolio would be down 9.3%. This value would be even higher in case you have a portfolio that is skewed towards CLOV or PLTR. What’s ironic here is that GME with its negative Beta can act as a hedge against red days! Limitations of the analysis: One of the major assumptions with the analysis is that people who talk about stocks probably own that stock which might not be the case. Also, this analysis might not hold for future patterns since Beta accounts only for historical data and cannot predict where the market will go. Finally, the data is taken from nasdaq.com (as of 2nd May) and they haven’t exactly disclosed the time period or the benchmark they use for Beta calculation. Conclusion: As we can prove from the analysis, we significantly underestimate the overall risk we are taking by adding popular stocks to our portfolio. The phenomenal gains we see on good days can easily be taken away on red days which explains the overreaction. In other words, “what Beta giveth, Beta taketh away!”   submitted by   /u/nobjos [link]   [comments]
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  2. Low Beta means less risk correct? (11/04/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
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  10. Fidelity app re: options positions (01/03/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
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  11. Looking for Comments on my portfolio. I have attached the image and have a combination of shares and options. Please exclude sxp, spy, and qqq. As you see heavily bleeding and as of now 20% below my initial investment. I am hoping to rearrange my portfolio (24/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
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  13. Strategies to hedge tech heavy portfolio for near-term volatility (28/03/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
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  16. Looking to focus my learning (23/03/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
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  18. Diversifying a tech heavy portfolio (16/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
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  19. Options question (06/04/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
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  21. I analyze mentions and sentiment of stocks across Reddit and Twitter. Last month's most discussed stocks and retail trader’s obsession with volatile stocks! (03/05/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
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  22. Options volume (26/03/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
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  32. How would you try to recover a portfolio of bad choices? (20/02/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
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  33. Options trading in the UK (11/03/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
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  34. Options from a start up (27/05/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
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    I’m a young investor with a small portfolio, mostly in AMZN and GOOGL. Lately I have been adding up value and dividend stocks to my tech-heavy portfolio and it has worked better than I expected. But there is a limitation to it due to those two taking up such a sizable chunk of my capital. GOOGL actually is up 17% while AMZN is down 5%. If I sold both now, I would have about 6-7% in realized gains. Which isn’t bad but not sure if it would still beat the gains I would make from value/dividend stocks. My goal is to load up on value stocks I already own to make enough dividends. With tech stocks these days, I just don’t see if they can maintain their growth trend this year. I probably wouldn’t have to worry about this if my brokerage had fractional shares, but it doesn’t unfortunately. And it’s the only one I found to actually work here in China. I am a US citizen btw. I know I have many years ahead in the horizon, but if I could build my portfolio in the right direction, I would rather do it now than wait for what’s going to happen in the future. Don’t get me wrong, I have stayed more patient than I have ever been with the market, as naive and funny as it may sound for a novice investor. The only time I sold some of my stocks was when the GME frenzy happened and even then I quickly realized how dumb it is to be controlled by emotions. So I’m not selling anything for now. But now there is an actual issue with maintaining an imbalanced portfolio that prevents me from executing my strategy, I am debating whether I should allow myself to take the risk. Maybe it’s more risky to hold onto them Idk.   submitted by   /u/Hour-Report-27 [link]   [comments]
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  42. Why does pre market exist and why are options not included? (03/06/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Seems pretty unfair that the market is only “open” from 9:30-4pm yet trading can still take place practically all day long. It really sets you up for failure when a stock closed high but then opens at half its price. I know that “I can trade after hours too” but seriously I cant possibly pay attention to something from 4am-8pm every day. And why aren’t options tradable? I am supposed to just sit there and watch my options loss all its value in pre market but cant do anything about it? If the price can change after hours why cant I tend to my options? Doesn’t make sense to me.   submitted by   /u/MajorKeyBro [link]   [comments]
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  43. Strategies on cash backed put options (31/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    I’m reading up on options writing and learning from various yt channels. So as a result, my somewhat newbie kind of mindset makes me believe that writing cash backed puts is the way to go for steady income generating, as compared to a more passive income and dividend focused portfolio approach. Armed with this semi-knowledge, I’m now wondering how to best build a strategy around this. What kinds of patterns to look for in a stock, for example. I also think timing is important. Would really like to find out what others are doing in this area and how it compares to their passive long term allocations.   submitted by   /u/Timstertimster [link]   [comments]
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  44. Is there any way to look up what the average ROI last year is for Robinhood retail investors? I did good (I guess) but have nothing to compare this to. Most of gains are in stocks and options. 15% of portfolio is crypto. (05/05/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
      submitted by   /u/Tucoconblondie [link]   [comments]
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  45. Help understanding buying options that are already profitable at time of buying? (07/05/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Hi, I'm new to trading options and was just looking at some options that seem just too good, where all I would have to do is buy and exercise to make money, I need help understanding why they look that way. Trading platform is Robinhood. I am looking at a particular ETF. There is an in the money strike with a break even at less than the current trading price. Am I wrong in understanding that by buying this and immediately exercising, I would be making money? I can't see how that would be possible but I'm new to options. Thank you in advance.   submitted by   /u/tackstackstacks [link]   [comments]
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  46. Coinbase launches beta version of prime product to grow institutional business (25/05/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  47. Boeing, Uber and Carnival among BofA high-beta chart winners: At the Open (05/03/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  48. I just did the wildest thing I’ve ever done in trading. All my money PYPL call options . (05/05/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    I got into investing in march 2020 with $14,000. Turned that into $65,000 by mid feb mostly trading options. And then everything went south and I’ve been trying to build back up since then. I’ve been back at 30k four weeks ago but I made the dumbest mistake ever and bought into COIN options the day options started trading on COIN and it’s just dropping since then and as of today was down 75%! Another big mistake was buying puts on UPS when it hit $195 because I had sold call options on UPS with 160% gain at $190 and I wasn’t forgiving myself for selling so I bought puts and almost lost everything there... down a lot on MSFT call options too. Today was first time ever my account hit a minus and I decided I gotta get back on my feet! Sold everything (except for DKNG call options) and threw it all into PYPL 9/17 $270 calls. Average analyst pt for PYPL is $310 and I bought at $247 so not so bad but I’m petrified about earnings coming up tomorrow after hours! Did I make a smart decision?   submitted by   /u/smarttuckus [link]   [comments]
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  49. DKNG weekly call (25/03/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    I’ve been buying stocks theses last couple years but really been trying to get into the game these last couple months. Prior to today, I only had stocks but decided to play around with options with TD Ameritrade. I purchased 1 April 1st call at a strike price of 67 for 1.88c. According to TD’s risk profile my max loss would be around $188 and max profit would be $600 something. My question is what’s my next move? I’m starting small so I don’t blow up the entire portfolio on my first options move. Apologies ahead of time for the noob question. Current positions $CVNA $DKNG $GNOG $SCR   submitted by   /u/JonButtz [link]   [comments]
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