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03 August 2021
11:59 hour

Goodmorning Traders ... I spy a short squeeze... my 3/26/21 Premarket outlook Technical Analysis on the SPY

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26/03/2021 - 14:20

Good morning Traders, I spy a short squeeze... I will go thru the spy chart in the video below but looking at things this morning here is how to interpret things...Premarket outlook for trading the Spy for consistent profits 3 26 21 ???? I Spy a short squeeze...yep here we go with the pain trade. The line in the sand has been drawn by the bears, if the bulls can break thru it there could be a nice pop up. If not, we’re going down. I Have been looking for a true Trend day structure and it hasn’t quite happened. The line in the sand is 391 if we break thru that area it opens up a path to 393-395. Keep in mind the market makers expected move to the up side is 396.8 and 382 to the down side, there is a high probability we test one of those areas. However, beware of a wall of rejection being built at the 391 area, enough rejection could send us reeling down to 389 and below. Where internals open will be important, we open up at extreme highs and trail off lower we tread water for a bit before falling. Internals open in the middle or at lows it may give the market enough strength to break thru the line in the sand. Let's look at the possible outcomes for the day: 1) We retest the 391-area resistance fail then consolidate between 391 and 389 area before breaking out. 2) trend day up structure, we maintain an opening gap up from yesterday’s close (389.65). In the first 30 min we get a try at filling the gap but hold above 389.65 then we go up breaking thru 391 area with a target of 393-396 area. 3) we test and break below 389 area. Look for retest of 391 to short. 1) We retest the 391-area resistance fail then consolidate between 391 and 389 area before breaking out. 39% probability 2) trend day up or rounded reversal structure, we maintain an opening gap up from yesterday’s close (389.65). In the first 30 min we get a try at filling the gap but hold above 389.65 then we go up breaking thru 391 area with a target of 393-396 area. 41% probability 3) we test and break below 389 area. Look for retest of 391area to short. 20% probability   submitted by   /u/jmj_daytrader [link]   [comments]


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  9. Goodmorning Traders ... Will the Bonds and Rates kill the quest for 400 on the spy... my 3/18/21 Premarket outlook Technical Analysis (18/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
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  12. Goodmorning Traders ... Markets reopen to new levels and volatility shows the trouble can has been kicked down the road for now... my 4/5/21 Premarket outlook Technical Analysis on the SPY (05/04/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Good morning Traders, Markets reopen to new levels and volatility shows the trouble can has been kicked down the road for now ... I will go thru the spy chart in the video below but looking at things this morning here is how to interpret things...Premarket outlook for trading the Spy for consistent profits 4 5 21 ???? Markets reopen to new levels and volatility shows the trouble can has been kicked down the road for now. With futures being open on Friday but equities being close how will things shake out in the new week. The first thing that caught my attention was the volatility can has been kicked down the rd. The Volatility curve seems to have normalized with fear now put off to June and beyond. With this being the beginning of the month, I usually look for continuation to the upside in the form of a lopsided range day type structure on the second trading day of the month. So, with the actual equites open for business today and futures already having jumped on Friday I look for a little equalization in the form of consolidation before decision to continue higher. Let's get into today's outcomes: 1) we hold support at 401area, which opens a path to 405 after a little consolidation between 401 and 403 area. 2) We have a trend day up type day. We try to fill the gap by retesting but not making all the way back too 400, then a straight up toward 405 area. 3) we break below 401, opening a path to 398. Look to short retest pushes back toward 400. 1) we hold support at 401area, which opens a path to 405 after a little consolidation between 401 and 403 area. 40% probability 2) We have a trend day up type day. We try to fill the gap by retesting but not making all the way back too 400, then a straight up toward 405 area. 35% probability 3) we break below 401, opening a path to 398. Look to short retest pushes back toward 400. 25% probability   submitted by   /u/jmj_daytrader [link]   [comments]
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  13. Goodmorning Traders ... Big move coming will we see fireworks today or tomorrow or both... my 3/31/21 Premarket outlook Technical Analysis on the SPY (31/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Good morning Traders, Big move coming will we see fireworks today or tomorrow or both... I will go thru the spy chart in the video below but looking at things this morning here is how to interpret things...premarket outlook 3 31 21 ???? Big move coming will we see fireworks today or tomorrow or both...We have a shortened trading week. Friday will close at noon. Factors in how this week will play out, the end of the quarter and the new month coming and oh let's not forgot president Biden to unveil his economic plan today. I was looking to get some type of pull back so we could have and excuse to bounce on the 1st of the month so far, the pullback has been very minimal. The end of the week is lining up to be and explosive trend day up but today seems to be a blah day waiting on news. Boundaries have been set on both sides so let's see what breaks first. Today's possible outcomes are as follows: 1) Range day structure with consolidation between 395 and 393 area before breaking higher or lower. 2) Break above 395 area for a lopsided range day which opens a path to 400. 3) we hold 395 resistance area and break thru the 393-support area with a retest target of 390. 1) Range day structure with consolidation between 395 and 393 area before breaking higher or lower. 40% probability 2) Break above 395 area for a lopsided range day which opens a path to 400. 35% probability 3) we hold 395 resistance area and break thru the 393-support area with a retest target of 390. 25% probability   submitted by   /u/jmj_daytrader [link]   [comments]
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  14. Goodmorning Traders ... New Week same old worries... my 3/22/21 Premarket outlook Technical Analysis (22/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
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  15. Goodmorning Traders ... Are we seeing real sale side activity yet...NO not yet... my 3/4/21 Premarket outlook Technical Analysis (04/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Good morning Traders, Are we seeing real sale side activity yet...NO not yet. I will go thru the spy chart in the video below but looking at things this morning here is how to interpret things... https://youtu.be/ELXNAFBNZKk So we had a little down move yesterday ... That was nothing. You can chock yesterdays Move up to Just Rotation. Here are the 3 different outcomes and Probablities to plan for. Do we take a breather from this small down move today, tomorrow or much later. The 3 outcomes are: 1) We try to fight back up at the open to somewhere between 381-385 consolidate and take another dive down toward 375 2) We bounce to between 381-385 , bulls kick in and we keep going higher toward 390. 3) consolidate here for awhile between 381 and 385. Probabilty for me are as follow:.................................................................................................................... We try to fight back up at the open to somewhere between 381-385 consolidate and take another dive in down toward 375 60% 2)We bounce to between 381-385 , bulls kick in and we keep going higher toward 390. 40% chance of happening 3) consolidate here for awhile between 381 and 385. Now that you know this things to watch while #3 goes on.............................................................. How much further can can xlf and qqq carry the market? The bonds are moving lower will their be follow thru... too high to fast they begin to hurt financials go back to selling off too fast they pull tech down Internals opening maxed out. if they open near the highs were going down. we open near the lows we jog in place and consolidate before bouncing up.   submitted by   /u/jmj_daytrader [link]   [comments]
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  16. Goodmorning Traders ... Stimulus, New All-time highs and Rates how long can the music keep going oh wait here come the Fed... my 3/16/21 Premarket outlook Technical Analysis (16/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Good morning Traders, Stimulus, New All-time highs and Rates how long can the music keep going oh wait here come the Fed... I will go thru the spy chart in the video below but looking at things this morning here is how to interpret things... Premarket outlook for trading the Spy for consistent profits 3 16 21 ???? Stimulus, New All-time highs and Rates how long can the music keep going oh wait here come the Fed... Will the Fed stop the music? Buy the rumor sale the news. We pushed thru and made another all-time high in the spy can we push higher? The 3 outcomes to prepare for are:1) We continue to hold 393 support area (also watch 395 area could hold there, lot of traffic around there) we continue pushing smaller new all-time high (journey to 400) with a widening range to the downside preparing for fed speak on Wed. 3.17.21. 2) We Break support at 393, giving us a consolidation zone between 397 and 392. 3) we drop and crack support at 390 area before consolidating and making way to possible buy fed speak on Wednesday. 1) We continue to hold 393 support area (also watch 395 area could hold there, lot of traffic around there) we continue pushing smaller new all-time high (journey to 400) with a widening range to the downside preparing for fed speak on Wed. 3.17.21. 50% probability 2) We Break support at 393, giving us a consolidation zone between 397 and 392. 40% probability 3) we drop and crack support at 390 area before consolidating and making way to possible buy fed speak on Wednesday. 10% probability   submitted by   /u/jmj_daytrader [link]   [comments]
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  18. Goodmorning Traders ... Expiration day big move in store for today... my 3/19/21 Premarket outlook Technical Analysis (19/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Good morning Traders, Expiration day big move in store for today... I will go thru the spy chart in the video below but looking at things this morning here is how to interpret things... Premarket outlook for trading the Spy for consistent profits 3 19 21 ???? Big move instore for today. Keys to today... first is expected move, which on the high end is 401.16 and low end is 386.96. More than not lately we have tagged one end of the expected move. Next is bonds and rates, will they back off enough to get a pop/rebound today. Bonds need to stay above 153’3, rates back off awhile not pushing sharply up thru 17.55. Third are internals: gaps or extreme opening prints will mean a pause for the moment in current downtrend but will be temporary. Forth and probably most important is understanding day structure and identifying that as early as possible. The different day structures are as follows; range day, trend day up, trend day down, and rounded reversal which I like to call trange day. Now the 3 outcomes to prepare for today are 1) we hold support at 388 area with a pause in rate and bond drama we get a pop today toward 393 area. The 393 area will hold another decision.2) we open with a gap down on both the spy and internals we try to retest yesterdays close of 391.41 and fail giving us a down trend day Hold on its going to be a long ride down.3) we consolidate between 391 and 388 areas before breaking higher or lower. we hold support at 388 area with a pause in rate and bond drama we get a pop today toward 393 area. The 393 area will hold another decision. 40% probability we open with a gap down on both the spy and internals we try to retest yesterdays close of 391.41 and fail giving us a down trend day Hold on its going to be a long ride down. 50% probability we consolidate between 391 and 388 areas before breaking higher or lower. 10% probability Unless we get very extreme openings on internals, I will wait the first 20 to 30 min to identify day structure first before making any additional moves   submitted by   /u/jmj_daytrader [link]   [comments]
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  19. Goodmorning Traders ... Big trading day ahead, will the Fed pause the music in this game of musical chairs... my 3/17/21 Premarket outlook Technical Analysis (17/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Good morning Traders, Big trading day ahead, will the Fed pause the music in this game of musical chairs... I will go thru the spy chart in the video below but looking at things this morning here is how to interpret things...Premarket outlook for trading the Spy for consistent profits 3 17 21 ???? Big trading day ahead, will the Fed pause the music in this game of musical chairs... Will the Fed stop the music? Buy the rumor sale the news. We pushed thru and made another all-time high at 397.83 in the spy and promptly sold off thereafter. Can we push higher, is 400 in the cards today? No matter what happens, I will not execute any trades until after the fed speak. Also, be very careful of the head fake on the initial announcement. There is an obvious undertone in the broader market this Fed day; to Test and put pressure on the Fed by pushing rates higher and bond yields lower to see if the Fed will take action. The 3 outcomes to prepare for are:1) Can we hold the 390-support area if so, we could have a sharp move toward 397-400 looking to take action on the reversal that may happen between today or expiration Friday. 2) We Break support at 390 area, giving us a consolidation zone between 397 and 390 before tanking toward the lower expected move of 386.96. 3) Down trend Day we try to close overnight gap toward 395 area before tanking toward the lower expected move of 386.96. Can we hold the 393-support area if so, we could have a sharp move toward 397-400 looking to take action on the reversal that may happen between today or expiration Friday. 50% probability We Break support at 393 area, giving us a consolidation zone between 397 and 390 before tanking toward the lower expected move of 386.96. 40% probability Down trend Day we try to close overnight gap toward 395 area before tanking toward the lower expected move of 386.96. 10% probability Must keep and I on rates (tnx) could over heat market by rising sharply! Watch sector rotation, bad tail winds spell sell-off to me because I don’t think xlf ,xle or xlk will participate in any bull moves which means big trouble   submitted by   /u/jmj_daytrader [link]   [comments]
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  20. Goodmorning Traders ... Big move coming will we see fireworks today (actually a small relatively quiet firework show with just a couple sparklers) ... my 4/1/21 Premarket outlook Technical Analysis on the SPY (01/04/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Good morning Traders, Big move coming will we see fireworks today (actually a small relatively quiet firework show with just a couple sparklers) ... I will go thru the spy chart in the video below but looking at things this morning here is how to interpret things...Premarket outlook 4 1 21 ???? Big move coming will we see fireworks today (actually a small relatively quiet firework show with just a couple sparklers). With this being expiration day and the first of the month, we have seen less and less volume thru the week. This sets up what I was talking about at the beginning of the week but instead of a bounce it's just going to look like a take-off or blow off top, keep in mind that the upper end of the expected move is 402.8(expecting to blow thru that level today). So be prepared for a Trend day up structure, yesterdays close was 396.25. Look for a failed retest of that level before taking off. Let's look at the possible outcomes for today: A) we chop around a tight 1-point range for the day …. April fools. Ok Real Outcomes are as follows: 1) we open with a gap up; we try to retest yesterdays close of 396.25 and we hold above this area and take off toward 403 and beyond. Keep an eye on internals, they should open at upper edge and hold that range for most of the day 2) We take off right from the open almost straight up. Keep an eye on internals if the open high and diverge from price on a slight decline look for a rounded reversal later today. Target of 400 and beyond then giving back a big chunk of the gains of the day.3) we get consolidation between 398 area and 395 area before breaking in to lopsided range day up. 1) we open with a gap up; we try to retest yesterdays close of 396.25 and we hold above this area and take off toward 403 and beyond. Keep an eye on internals, they should open at upper edge and hold that range for most of the day 50% probability 2) We take off right from the open almost straight up. Keep an eye on internals if the open high and diverge from price on a slight decline look for a rounded reversal later today. Target of 400 and beyond then giving back a big chunk of the gains of the day. 40% probability 3) we get consolidation between 398 area and 395 area before breaking in to lopsided range day. 10% probability   submitted by   /u/jmj_daytrader [link]   [comments]
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  21. Goodmorning Traders ... Big move coming will we see fireworks today (actually a small relatively quiet firework show with just a couple sparklers) ... my 4/1/21 Premarket outlook Technical Analysis on the SPY (01/04/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Good morning Traders, Big move coming will we see fireworks today (actually a small relatively quiet firework show with just a couple sparklers) ... I will go thru the spy chart in the video below but looking at things this morning here is how to interpret things...Premarket outlook 4 1 21 ???? Big move coming will we see fireworks today (actually a small relatively quiet firework show with just a couple sparklers). With this being expiration day and the first of the month, we have seen less and less volume thru the week. This sets up what I was talking about at the beginning of the week but instead of a bounce it's just going to look like a take-off or blow off top, keep in mind that the upper end of the expected move is 402.8(expecting to blow thru that level today). So be prepared for a Trend day up structure, yesterdays close was 396.25. Look for a failed retest of that level before taking off. Let's look at the possible outcomes for today: A) we chop around a tight 1-point range for the day …. April fools. Ok Real Outcomes are as follows: 1) we open with a gap up; we try to retest yesterdays close of 396.25 and we hold above this area and take off toward 403 and beyond. Keep an eye on internals, they should open at upper edge and hold that range for most of the day 2) We take off right from the open almost straight up. Keep an eye on internals if the open high and diverge from price on a slight decline look for a rounded reversal later today. Target of 400 and beyond then giving back a big chunk of the gains of the day.3) we get consolidation between 398 area and 395 area before breaking in to lopsided range day up. 1) we open with a gap up; we try to retest yesterdays close of 396.25 and we hold above this area and take off toward 403 and beyond. Keep an eye on internals, they should open at upper edge and hold that range for most of the day 50% probability 2) We take off right from the open almost straight up. Keep an eye on internals if the open high and diverge from price on a slight decline look for a rounded reversal later today. Target of 400 and beyond then giving back a big chunk of the gains of the day. 40% probability 3) we get consolidation between 398 area and 395 area before breaking in to lopsided range day. 10% probability   submitted by   /u/jmj_daytrader [link]   [comments]
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  22. Goodmorning Traders ... We ran to new highs so fast now it needs a pause to catch its breath... my 4/6/21 Premarket outlook Technical Analysis on the SPY (06/04/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    We ran to new highs so fast now it needs a pause to catch its breath... I will go thru the spy chart in the video below but looking at things this morning here is how to interpret things... https://youtu.be/TNAxYC-wd44 Today is a pause and catch your breath day, and in anticipation of this I grabbed a couple of 12 April 21 puts at 15:46 to take advantage of this. Right now, the market as a whole seems calm, volatility had fell below 18. All these things over time can lull you into a relaxed state. Don’t relax. Today is breather but this run will give us some nice opportunities this week. This run has already put us at the top end of the market makers expected move of 406.97. This was the expected move for the entire week and it was done in a day. So later in the week there should be some great pullback opportunities. Now to today's outcomes: 1) if we hold support at 405 area, we consolidate between 405 and 407 areas. 2) We break thru support at 405 and giving us a target of 402 area. Today on this breather type day its simple, so I will keep it to just two outcomes and address some comments. A lot of people don’t understand my analysis. They say the market only goes up or down, and if you trade options, you should understand that this is not correct. The market moves up down and sideways, the sideways movement is very important to theta (time decay of options). There are options strategies that profit primarily because of that sideways movement. This is usually the reason for 3rd outcome. 1) if we hold support at 405 area, we consolidate between 405 and 407 areas. 45% probability 2) We break thru support at 405 and giving us a target of 402 area. 55% probability   submitted by   /u/jmj_daytrader [link]   [comments]
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  23. Goodmorning Traders ... Are we in range, focusing on day structure... my 3/23/21 Premarket outlook Technical Analysis on the SPY (23/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Good morning Traders, are we in range, focusing on day structure... I will go thru the spy chart in the video below but looking at things this morning here is how to interpret things... Premarket outlook for trading the Spy for consistent profits 3 23 21 ???? Are we in range, focusing on day structure... Digging out a new range? We created a new upper end of the range now what's the lower end of the range. When looking at candles sticks on a chart there is a lot of information given to you at a glance. One bit of info I pay attention to is inside days versus outside days. Looking at a daily candle stick chart, if the current candle at close is bigger than the previous candle, I call it and outside day. It signals range expansion and high volatility. If the previous candle on a daily chart is bigger than the current candle at its close then you have and inside day which signals lower volatility and consolidation. Along with this are a couple of candle stick patterns you should become familiar with, the piercing pattern and dark cloud cover. Dark cloud cover usually confirms resistance and the piercing pattern usually confirms support. I won't go to deep into it here but you can search google for images of both. Continue to keep your eyes on Bonds and Rates for any sharp moves that will anger the overall market. As we Continue to focus on understanding day structure and identifying them as early as possible. A lot of focus on range days and there many different versions. Now the 4 outcomes to prepare for today are 1) Can we hold above 388 area. If so, we push toward 392 area and possibly 393. Be careful of quick down moves that may retest the low of the range. 2) we Consolidate between 388 and 392 area before getting up enough energy to break out higher or lower. 4) Trend day structure down. We have an opening gap lower from yesterdays close, we try to fill the gap and fail with a target of 388 area. 1) Can we hold above 390 area. If so, we push toward 392 area and possibly 393. Be careful of quick down moves that may retest the low of the range. 40% probability 2) we Consolidate between 388 and 391 area before getting up enough energy to break out higher or lower. 10% probability 3) Trend day structure down. We have an opening gap lower from yesterdays close, we try to fill the gap and fail with a target of 388 area. 50% probability   submitted by   /u/jmj_daytrader [link]   [comments]
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  24. What are some of your favorite youtube traders to learn from? (20/05/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    I have been meaning to work on my technical analysis skills since market nowadays favors the day traders and scalpers compared to swingers and long investors. To be honest, I am more interested in learning price action, how to read volume, L2 compared to learning about different indicators Any channel recommendations? I typed in youtube "technical analysis tutorial for beginners" It seems to me Rayner Teo should be my go to guy, I always hear good things about him and seen his videos when I was serious about TA also he has many playlists for me to go over but their are also other channels on here like: The Trading Channel TheChartGuys DisciplinedTrader The Traveling Trader Coin Bureau Decisive Trading Tradesociety.com Trading 212 The Secret Mindset Wysetrade Trade Pro Whats your guys' thoughts on the above list? Any known scammers on there or people I should avoid? What about your favorite traders that you vouch by, maybe I mis   submitted by   /u/mateyman [link]   [comments]
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  25. Goodmorning Traders ... Put your helmets on and buckle up its coming... my 3/25/21 Premarket outlook Technical Analysis on the SPY (25/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Good morning Traders, Put your helmets on and buckle up its coming... I will go thru the spy chart in the video below but looking at things this morning here is how to interpret things...Premarket outlook for trading the Spy for consistent profits 3 25 21 ???? Put your helmets on and buckle up its coming... A roller coaster ride of volatility. Yesterday we had a move of 5.2 points on the spy nearly straight down, and most of it was done with a positive advance decline line. Now consider with all the movement we have had this week are just below where we started the week. The market makers expected move is 396.8 at the top and 382.16 at the bottom, there is a high probability we tag one of those numbers by or before expiration Friday. That means a huge move today and or tomorrow. The upcoming roller coaster ride will be different, usually roller coasters have a slow tick, tick, tick up then screaming down. The roller coaster the market is about to ride is going to go screaming up then a nice orderly pace down for a good while. This could start today or next week not completely sure but get ready it seems to be on the way which is surprising with the amount of stimulus/ liquidity floating around. In my estimation I though the stimulus would have kept this from coming for months but it's still possible this could be a tremor before the real earthquake move which could still be months away. Now what to expect today, try to identify day structure early we have a trend down day structure setting up so here are the possible outcomes for today.1) Trend day down model set up, at some point we get a have hearted try to fill the gap of yesterdays close of 387.48 and fail to a likely target of 382 area 2) Rounded reversal set up (Trange day). We head straight down toward 382area where we see a turnaround erasing a good bit of the losses of the day. Consolidate between 388 and 393 area before getting up enough energy to break out higher or lower. 3) We hold and consolidate between 385 and 388 area before breaking higher or lower. 1) Trend day down model set up, at some point we get a have hearted try to fill the gap of yesterdays close of 387.48 and fail to a likely target of 382 area. 50% probability 2) Rounded reversal set up (Trange day). We head straight down toward 382area where we see a turnaround erasing a good bit of the losses of the day. Consolidate between 388 and 393 area before getting up enough energy to break out higher or lower. 40% probability 3) We hold and consolidate between 385 and 388 area before breaking higher or lower. 10% probability   submitted by   /u/jmj_daytrader [link]   [comments]
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  26. AMC Signs of a coming GAMMA SQUEEZE! indicators and technical analysis. Jump on the train now (01/06/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
      submitted by   /u/dastockanalyst [link]   [comments]
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  27. $SPRT Short squeeze under $5 great chance to the moon. ???? ???? ???? (15/07/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Short Squeeze Candidates: Here are three stocks trading under $5 per share that have all the ingredients for a short squeeze. Support.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:SPRT) Support.com may be the perfect short squeeze candidate under $5 because it has a built-in near-term catalyst for a squeeze. The company announced a reverse merger with Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) miner Greenidge Generation Holdings back in March, and the merger is expected to be completed in the third quarter. Support.com’s 15 million-share float is very small, creating plenty of opportunity for extreme volatility if trading volume rises. Support.com also has 78.6% of its float held short, according to Ortex Analytics. The stock has previously demonstrated its potential for extreme volatility. When the merger deal was announced in March, the stock price rocketed from around $2.25 to as high as $9.45 in a single day. Finally, short squeeze traders have frequently targeted stocks trading under $5 per share this year, and Support.com’s shares currently trade at just $4.27   submitted by   /u/AccomplishedRush4641 [link]   [comments]
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  28. Swing traders? (10/06/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Good morning! We started a new sub for swing traders that covers technical analysis, daily picks, and daily updates on our swings and watchlists. It's a pretty cool community and we all support each other. Drop in and check it out. Newbs and experienced all welcome... https://www.reddit.com/r/SwingTradingTA/   submitted by   /u/50sma [link]   [comments]
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  29. Is facebook stock still a buy , check out my technical analysis and tell me your opinion (24/06/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Is facebook stock still a buy , check out my technical analysis and tell me your opinion Facebook's share price has risen over 28% since March and is now apparently one of the most crowded trades according to analysis on data from FactSet. The investor class used was hedge funds in this case. Does this mean it's time to exit Facebook? It was clear from November 2020 through Feb 2021 that investors were overlooking how cheap Facebook was. But what about now? ​ Check out my video about technical analysis https://studio.youtube.com/video/IhzEfqcNyYY/edit   submitted by   /u/vpisovaluw [link]   [comments]
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  30. Goodmorning Traders ... Can we get a bounce to seal the new range top... my 3/24/21 Premarket outlook Technical Analysis on the SPY (24/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Good morning Traders, can we get a bounce to seal the new range top... I will go thru the spy chart in the video below but looking at things this morning here is how to interpret things... https://youtu.be/axDlgLQSu-0 can we get a bounce to seal the new range top... Establishing the new range top? Or should I say confirming range top, because thanks to some candle stick patterns, we identified this week it seems we may have a top. We could be instore for a fast big bounce up. Although there is decent size in open interest, it is spread kind of one-sided at these levels. Again, we focus on identifying day structure as early as possible. Will today be another lop sided range day or a trend up day? Today we will focus on Trend day up structure. Clues to suspect a Trend day up Are: Strong overnight session, opening gap up from previous close, it's an expiration day. Things to look for after the open are; internals opening at extremes and holding and extreme range, A halfhearted try to close the gap then taking off to the up side. Continue to keep your eyes on Bonds and Rates for any sharp moves that will anger the overall market. Now the 4 outcomes to prepare for today are 1) Can we hold above 389 area. If so, we push toward 393 area and possibly 394 or more. Be careful of quick down moves that may retest the low of the range. 2) we Consolidate between 388 and 393 area before getting up enough energy to break out higher or lower. 3) Trend day structure up. We have an opening gap higher from yesterdays close, we try to fill the gap and fail with a target of 394 area. 4) We get a rounded reversal. First part of the day starts like a trend day up but midday we get a reversal that takes out most of the gains of the day. 1) Can we hold above 389 area. If so, we push toward 393 area and possibly 394 or more. Be careful of quick down moves that may retest the low of the range. 20% probability 2) we Consolidate between 388 and 393 area before getting up enough energy to break out higher or lower. 10% probability 3) Trend day structure up. We have an opening gap higher from yesterdays close, we try to fill the gap and fail with a target of 394 area at least. 30% probability 4) We get a rounded reversal. First part of the day starts like a trend day up but midday we get a reversal that takes out most of the gains of the day. 40% probability   submitted by   /u/jmj_daytrader [link]   [comments]
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  31. : A new short squeeze in GameStop and AMC? One social-media sentiment tracker says one is brewing for ‘either today or very soon’ (18/05/2021 - Market Watch)
    GameStop and AMC overcame rocky starts to the trading day as comments on social media surged and retail traders mused once again about “squeeze"s on both stocks.
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  32. NewsWatch: A new short squeeze in GameStop and AMC? One social-media sentiment tracker says one is brewing for ‘either today or very soon’ (18/05/2021 - Market Watch)
    GameStop and AMC overcame rocky starts to the trading day as comments on social media surged and retail traders mused once again about “squeeze"s on both stocks.
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  33. Goodmorning Traders ... Patients, Patients , Patients on my 3/3/21 Premarket outlook (03/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Good morning Traders, Patiently waiting. I will go thru the spy chart in the video below but looking at things this morning here how to interpret things... https://youtu.be/YHqagpBijgg Everything is pretty much still in place from yesterday. Basically the same 3 different outcomes and the same Probablities to plan for. That decision level is 390.5 on the spy. The 3 outcomes are: 1) close above 390.5 and begin the fight thru 392 on to new highs 2) bears defend 391.06-392 level and fall back into the volatilty. 3) consolidate here for awhile between 392 and 386. Probabilty for me are as follow:.................................................................................................................... Bears defend and Close below 392 fall back thru air pocket down to 379 has 60% chance of happening 2)Bulls join in break thru 392 and has 40% chance of happening 3) Consolidate between 392 and 386 This is the most important because this will happen to some degree before we break to new highs or retest lows ( old support levels) Now that you know this things to watch while #3 goes on.............................................................. How much further can can xlf and qqq carry the market? The bonds are in a very important zone... too high to fast they begin to hurt financials go back to selling off too fast they pull tech down Internals : were still lagging from mondays explosive move . lets see if they are back on track today I will be waiting to see continued divergence at the 390 area before take aposition which will probably in the form of a couple short options after covering the calls i have running from friday Goodnews is bad news... Target out with earning and beat but still selling off after news foreshadowing whats to come.   submitted by   /u/jmj_daytrader [link]   [comments]
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  34. What sorts of technical analysis do you guys look for in stocks (24/03/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    When I look at stocks My predictions are typically very speculative. I would like to add some more technical analysis to my arsenal but I was wondering how you guys decide what data to look at, for example, EPS, P/E ratio, etc etc. any tips are much appreciated. Thanks!   submitted by   /u/purplesippin [link]   [comments]
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  35. $AEI Great Stock And Short Squeeze - Analysis (04/07/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    I would like to shortly state my opinion on $AEI and provide a few details to the community. I am holding $AEI shares and I did so before I identified the stock for its short potential - so I do believe in $AEI in general and not just as a short squeeze: Market Cap: 147M Short Interest: 1.6M / 8.6M (18.8%) Borrow Rate: 50% Ownership: Chang Heng (CEO) owns 6.4M (75%) of all shares Almost all available shares are shorted right now at around 50% with 0.75 days-to-cover recently. $AEI can literally not get much more shorted and considering the recent short volume around 35% it is likely that by now every available $AEI stock is shorted. Hence, $AEI can only go up. The more of us jump into $AEI now the higher we can push the stock. Market Cap is relatively low, so even small investments will show big impact. All of this is just my personal opinion, but I would not be posting this if I wouldn´t be convinced that $AEI is an easy pick right now.   submitted by   /u/Max_W3II [link]   [comments]
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  36. Short Volume ? Short Interest! (29/06/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Tldr; Short Volume is NOT the same as Short Interest. Short volume does NOT cause a short squeeze. I’ve seen lots of posts commenting “the stock is xx% shorted!” So posting to clarify something: Short volume is NOT the same as short interest! Very big difference, do not confuse the two and spread misinformation. Short volume is number of shares sold short and traded that DAY. Short interest is the total % of the float out on loan being shorted. Short volume is almost always higher than short interest. Also as volume increases so does short volume. They are not tied to each other. Short volume can in theory be one shorted share traded back and forth 1 million times to show a short volume of 1 million. In reality it is almost always the same group of shorted shares, or people trading on preexisting shorted positions. Increasing short volume ? short interest. Correlation does NOT imply causation. Short volume does NOT trigger a gamma squeeze nor a short squeeze. I have seen many posts saying various stocks are “ XX% shorted” when in reality they are referring to the short volume. Most of these stocks are too diluted to experience a gamma squeeze or a short squeeze. Also people saying “short interest increased XX% overnight” Short interest reporting does not happen overnight, it’s monthly for FINRA and always 2 weeks delayed, as the report month end and release the reports 2 weeks later. You are looking at short volume.   submitted by   /u/sweljb [link]   [comments]
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  37. Technical Analysis relevant to long term investing? (04/07/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Sup y’all! Hope your all having a chillin Saturday. Serious question. Do you believe that technical analysis offers some relevance towards long term trading? I’m not interested in finding out myself actually i just want to hear your thoughts   submitted by   /u/Drummerboy697 [link]   [comments]
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  38. MP Fundamental Analysis and why I think they will kill earnings (04/05/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    I’ve decided recently to take my personal stock analysis on the path of going deep instead of wide because screw diversification. Recently, that has been MP - and now for some fundamentals analysis. Though first, I did some analysis for the earnings coming up on May 6th - which calculates the earnings based on actual REO commodities prices in Q1, and has MP beating the high analyst EPS estimate by almost whopping 3x! If that doesn’t get you excited, it is also currently sitting at an estimated 24% SI and >98% utilization! Now, I’m not crying short squeeze, but when shorts see it kill earnings they can do one of three things: 1) Double down and try to scare people away, 2) revise their thesis and get out of their short positions, 3) hodl. Well, when there aren’t many shares left to short, should leave short positions with TLDR: A conservative pricing model puts MP at 42 right now, 61 next year, 85 in 2023, and a whopping 151 in 2024… again this is conservative. Showing my work: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1O5HiTyzSbs7v7xsNUM-YF-lY1LEEG9VwYUIqFtdPy0E/edit#gid=985764963 Also, before I start - this is not some bagholder trying to recoup, I bought in a bit early around 41, but then went ham last week Analysis in the comments   submitted by   /u/boneywankenobi [link]   [comments]
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  39. Investing vs Trading: What’s the Difference? (14/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    https://preview.redd.it/itt6rabczym61.png?width=1000&format=png&auto=webp&s=c529499f7fd6817d50ef071d7e92dff706b77fa7 INVESTING VS TRADING Investing and trading are the two different methods by which buyer and seller generate money from the stock market. Trading implies a more active approach while investing implies a less active approach. Trading implies a series of short-term trades while investing usually takes a longer period. Traders use technical analysis while doing trade in the stock market and investors use fundamental analysis while doing investing in the stock market. In fundamental analysis , investors pick the stock which is fundamentally strong, it means the investor will check the intrinsic value of the stock market cap of the stock revenue and future growth of the particular stock . In the technical analysis traders creates the opportunities by using historical charts and market statistics while picking the stock in the share market INVESTING The main aim of investing is to invest money safely in the market by doing fundamental analysis. It is based on fundamental analysis of the country. In investing , investors pick the stock for the long term. An investor calculates what a stock is worth, based on the value of its businesses. Investors may choose companies which are not performing well at present but are expected to establish high earning returns in future. In investing we must thoroughly analyze a company, and the soundness of its underlying businesses, before you buy its stock. Risk is very low while investing in the stock market as compare to trading because investor always use the fundamental analysis of the company such as they used to watch Return on equity (ROE), Return on capital employment (ROCE), earning per share (EPS), price to earning ratio (P/E). they used to read the financial statement of the company such as balance sheet, profit loss statement and cash flow of the company. The rate of return expected is modest and realistic. The benefit comes when the value of business increases. The probability of losing money is much less when we are investing in the stock as the decision is taken by depth analysis of the company. We must aspire satisfactory returns, not extraordinary performance. Power of compounding works very well during investing. If you buy a stock and hold it for a long term then in that case compounding will work as it has the power to magnify the small investment in the long term. TRADING Trading in the market means buying a stock when the market has been declining and selling them when the market turns upward. In the time of trading the stocks are selected which are doing better than the market average . A small number of professionals engage in the trading to sell the issues when the price is high and buying them back at a price lower than they sold them for. A trader gambles that a stock will go up in price because somebody else will pay even more for it. Trading basically means holding the stock for a short period and book profit when the prices of the stock touches a high level. Traders can book the profit from the stock which is not very valuable on its position. High risk probability is found in trading as compared to investing because while trading we have to make decisions very quickly, which may be wrong or may be right. Traders generally falls into this category Day Traders :- In this traders hold the stock only for one day. They buy the stock in the morning and sell it on the same day. Swing Traders :- In this position of the stocks are held from days to weeks. Position Traders :- Positions are held from months to years. In short term trading we must be aware about the taxes implemented on stocks i.e. Short Term Capital Gain which is 15% on profit and in long term Investing , tax implemented will be 10% on profit. Read also about the capital Market of India   submitted by   /u/Smart_Investor_ [link]   [comments]
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  40. Do you think $AMC is going to short squeeze soon? (16/06/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Why or why not? I could use helpful, well-thought-out answers. Please, I'm looking for intelligent, fact-based opinions. I've done my own research, but am hoping to get more opinions from experienced investors/traders with years of stock market experience under their belts. Examples of what I'm looking for: Yes, I think AMC will squeeze soon because the short volume is around 20% and shorts have to cover. (My thoughts on a response like this would be: I thought they could just wait it out? Even though it costs them money, they are probably making enough on other plays to make up for that.) Or no, it won't squeeze because they just reported failure to deliver at 80% less than it was a month ago, so they already covered. (My thoughts on a response like this would be: This already happened in March, too, then the FTD numbers went back up. However, I'm wondering if the short covering is responsible for the steady price increase??) What I'm not interested in: Bruh, the DD is done, just buy and HODL ???????????????????????? Lol, I'm not trying to be mean here, I just want intelligent answers because I could use the help and just searching on the internet only gets you so far, plus I'm new to all of this. The stock market and trading can be complex and I could use experienced opinions here. I hope to find some people kind enough to help me out. Thank you in advance.   submitted by   /u/Diamond_Girl_516 [link]   [comments]
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  41. I made a list of the most mentioned trading books. Tell me your top 3 and why. (24/02/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Disclaimer: I originally posted this in r/swingtrading and decided to also post here because I believe given the books listed its still relevant to more than just swing traders. First off I noticed the book question gets asked rather frequently. Second I noticed most posts only get a fee comments about what books are out there. Here is a list of all the books I’ve found mentioned on this sub, some mentioned once, some several times. Please keep reading past the list because I will give my bit about what I specifically am looking for, because rather than paying for a course, I plan to use the books and then use youtube as a supplement. Hopefully this will also be a valuable resource to future reddit traders. One more tidbit, your opinion matters, but so does your upvote. If someone mentions your favorite/s be sure to upvote. Heres the list: Title(last name of author) Trade like a stock market wizard (minervini) Think and trade like a champion (minervini) Trading for a living (elder) Art & science of technical analysis (grimes) How to swing trade (pezim) Master swing trader (farley) How to swing trade (aziz) Mastering the trade (carter) Trading in the zone (douglas) How to daytrade for a living (aziz) Swing trading (william riley) Charting and technical analysis (mcallen) Come into my trading room (elder) 5 secrets to highly profitable swing trading (hoff) Quite the list I made. I hope there are plenty of good and easily recognizable books on there. Now for specifically me I want to swing trade, at this point I’d consider it an actual passion and I’d love to use it be be “financially free” so to speak. I like swing trading plain and simple because its fun and you can make money. Because I do it out of fun and enjoyment and not purely money I want to be able to see it all happen in days/weeks rather than months/years. The reason I’m clear on this is because for the time being, and specifically this post stick to books that aren’t exclusively loooooong term. I really enjoy technical analysis, that being said I feel so so uninformed in terms of how wide the scope of technical analysis is. A book specifically tailored for that would be fantastic. Technical analysis is not the only thing though. I don’t plan on trading exclusively with TA so of course a book covering broader scopes is necessary. I’d like the book to be graphical. I won’t lie, I haven’t read a single book on trading. Idk if it is common for the books to have colored graphs and examples or not. I would really prefer that, as im a visual learner. I’d like there to be depth, limiting my need for youtube. Less youtube could be equal to less room to find a bad video and the following misinformation. Id like for a book or many to clearly list out and explain strategies, when to use them, how to use them etc. If you’re here, I appreciate you so much. Thank you for helping me and future traders!   submitted by   /u/smikilit [link]   [comments]
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  42. I made a list of the most mentioned trading books. Tell me your top 3 and why. (24/02/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Disclaimer: I originally posted this in r/swingtrading and decided to also post here because I believe given the books listed its still relevant to more than just swing traders. First off I noticed the book question gets asked rather frequently. Second I noticed most posts only get a fee comments about what books are out there. Here is a list of all the books I’ve found mentioned on this sub, some mentioned once, some several times. Please keep reading past the list because I will give my bit about what I specifically am looking for, because rather than paying for a course, I plan to use the books and then use youtube as a supplement. Hopefully this will also be a valuable resource to future reddit traders. One more tidbit, your opinion matters, but so does your upvote. If someone mentions your favorite/s be sure to upvote. Heres the list: Title(last name of author) Trade like a stock market wizard (minervini) Think and trade like a champion (minervini) Trading for a living (elder) Art & science of technical analysis (grimes) How to swing trade (pezim) Master swing trader (farley) How to swing trade (aziz) Mastering the trade (carter) Trading in the zone (douglas) How to daytrade for a living (aziz) Swing trading (william riley) Charting and technical analysis (mcallen) Come into my trading room (elder) 5 secrets to highly profitable swing trading (hoff) Quite the list I made. I hope there are plenty of good and easily recognizable books on there. Now for specifically me I want to swing trade, at this point I’d consider it an actual passion and I’d love to use it be be “financially free” so to speak. I like swing trading plain and simple because its fun and you can make money. Because I do it out of fun and enjoyment and not purely money I want to be able to see it all happen in days/weeks rather than months/years. The reason I’m clear on this is because for the time being, and specifically this post stick to books that aren’t exclusively loooooong term. I really enjoy technical analysis, that being said I feel so so uninformed in terms of how wide the scope of technical analysis is. A book specifically tailored for that would be fantastic. Technical analysis is not the only thing though. I don’t plan on trading exclusively with TA so of course a book covering broader scopes is necessary. I’d like the book to be graphical. I won’t lie, I haven’t read a single book on trading. Idk if it is common for the books to have colored graphs and examples or not. I would really prefer that, as im a visual learner. I’d like there to be depth, limiting my need for youtube. Less youtube could be equal to less room to find a bad video and the following misinformation. Id like for a book or many to clearly list out and explain strategies, when to use them, how to use them etc. If you’re here, I appreciate you so much. Thank you for helping me and future traders!   submitted by   /u/smikilit [link]   [comments]
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  43. GEO Short Interest increased to 33%. A short squeeze could be on the horizon (27/04/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    All we need now is a few more shorts and GEO could rally. Short interest has increased to 33 % to 38,600,000 shares short. Up 10% on the short since last week. https://shortsqueeze.com/?symbol=GEO&submit=Short+Quote%E2%84%A2 Earnings are out on May 10th. If the earnings are reasonable (and GEO has been beating expectations) then the chance for a short squeeze increases. Today’s price action suggestive of more shorts being piled on.   submitted by   /u/eneroquatro3 [link]   [comments]
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  44. Could a successful GME squeeze trigger other memestock short squeezes? (13/03/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    So like many other GME has made me interested in the stockmarket and though I've recently started reading up on things I'm obviously still unknowledgeable, so I'd liked to hear from more experienced traders about this speculation of mine. It's rather simple and I'm sure many of you have already thought about it. I don't think it will be happening all that soon but lets fantasize that the squeeze is squozen and one, if not the, largest redistribution of wealth has been completed. That would mean that from one moment to the other there are suddenly now a lot of rich redditors and also normal people. The scenario which I envision is that a lot of them would instantly reinvest their wealth into other stocks, fairly likely other meme stocks. Do you guys/guys having girl avatars, think that right after the GME squeeze other heavily shorted stocks will shoot up and be triggered?   submitted by   /u/SpicyLemonz [link]   [comments]
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  45. Types of shares effected by short squeeze (30/06/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    I've been reading through a few different subs on the possible short squeeze of a few different stocks. I've seen some comments to the affect of "unless you lent them on margin" or something like that, "then it won't grow the way you hope". Is there a difference in how different kinds of stocks grow during a short squeeze? Thanks -Uneducated investor   submitted by   /u/Strict_Chemistry_797 [link]   [comments]
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  46. Books for analysis and investing strategies (12/03/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    I'm looking for books that do a good job of outlining some successful investing strategies that help find stocks. Something that has proven strategies or something that can help you create your own strategy is best. I'm NOT looking for books that talk about personal finance such as compound interest or ETF's, exclusively stocks Books for newcomers to fundamental and technical analysis that go in-depth All in all, books that show strategies, how to make your own strategy, fundamental and technical analysis and general information one should know about the stock market Thanks!   submitted by   /u/shubhp13 [link]   [comments]
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  47. Questionnaire (29/05/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Would you say that your investments have a positive effect on the overall economy? a) Yes b) NO c) Cant Say Have you or Would you use data analysis and automation tools for quick analysis of fundamental data and technical indicators? a) Yes b) NO c) Cant Say Do you use you tube videos, economic newspapers and tips from top traders/executives to make your stock selection? a) Yes b) NO c) Cant Say What is your opinion on practices like margin/leverage, spread, and fees? What is your opinion on practices like stop-loss hunting, data mining, funding of brokerages by investment banks (conflict of interest) and brokerages taking opposite trades of the trader.   submitted by   /u/PositiveMessage9711 [link]   [comments]
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  48. Short Squeeze $CRTD (08/07/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Who’s jumping on the $CRTD bandwagon. The stock has caught fire based on Will Meade’s tweets earlier today. His quote below: My formula for the biggest potential short squeeze play is Short interest over 33% 1/3 of float is short Market Cap Under $500 million Stock Price Under $5 Only 1 stock fits that criteria $CRTD   submitted by   /u/alotfi25 [link]   [comments]
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  49. $SPCE Virgin Galactic ->>> MOEX price movement forecast- analysis. Short Interest stats added from Friday. (31/05/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    SPCE TO MOEX LISTING ANALYSIS I did an analysis of stocks that were listed on several exchanges and I was interested in the price action after entering to the MOEX. Guess what? On all stocks the one trade day before addition to the MOEX the price dropped as did the SPCE on Friday. But on Monday after entering to the MOEX price never dropped. The fact that SPCE fell on Friday was because we had a long weekend ahead of us and many traders left the positions. They will probably buy shares again on Tuesday. Take a look at other similar stocks they have had a similar course on Friday or the entire Nasdaq on Friday. I think that dual-listing with MOEX will only have price positive effect. SHORT INTEREST The shorts did not cover their positions on Friday. Short shares availability = 75000 Short borrow fee almost 28%   submitted by   /u/CZHawkeye [link]   [comments]
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