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06 August 2021
04:08 hour

Is The Stock Market Going To Crash Again In 2021? Should You Buy Stocks Today? Stock Market v Yields & Jobs | Zoom & Nio Opinion

Reddit Stocks

15/03/2021 - 13:34

Hey there folks! Today I want to talk to you about what’s really going on in the stock market and what we should expected next… [Don't: Read Very Long Post | Dislike Before Reading] So, in the last couple of weeks, we have seen a very fast correction in the tech heavy Nasdaq Index after the bond yields rapidly spiked over 1.5% for the 10y, as a lot of investors kept getting spooked by the employment numbers coming in slightly better than expected, though many important things are still hidden in those numbers. For example, last week we saw the US gaining almost 400K jobs, but this barely moved the unemployment rate which still stands at 6.2% (and this doesn’t even include people who just quit searching for jobs). Almost all of the job gains were seen in the leisure and hospitality sector, which has started to regain some momentum after it was the most affected by the events of last year, as this sector is still down more than 3.5M jobs since a year ago. These past weeks we also saw jobless claims continuing to go down, with the latest initial jobless claims coming in at the lowest level since last early last year at just over 700K, as the continuing jobless claims also coming in at just over 4.1M. But guys, regardless of the jobs & unemployment numbers, the main thing that will keep investors on edge will continue to be treasury yields, the interest rates and how this are affected by the inflation numbers which are expected to see a huge bump in the next months as we will have very low comps compared to last year when we saw the rona starting to pick up steam. We can see here the core inflation came lower this month with an increase of just .1% which jolted the stock market and started a recovery after the sell-off in the past weeks. Given that tech names & EVs were some of the biggest hit stocks we should also take a quick look at NIO, as the company lost almost half of its value in the past month, dropping from over $66 to just $35 after the big sell off in the past weeks. NIO’s drop was also amplified probably by the fact that they posted mixed results for the 4th quarter of last year, as they just missed the top line but did manage to post a solid beat on the company’s bottom line, losing just $0.14/share. Investors might not have been happy to see a guidance of just 15% above their 4th quarter given the huge valuation and expectations of the company and the huge global chip shortage that will limit NIO’s production capacity to just 7.5K in the 2nd quarter of 2021. I still have a mixed opinion about NIO’s stock, but after this huge sell-off, it has become more attractive given the continued growth of sales the company has seen in the last years, while I also believe NIO will remain one of the winners of the EV disruption. The other stock that I wanted to mention after what has happened in the past weeks is Zoom. I really like Zoom’s products and I understand the hype of the stock, but I also really believe they will struggle to keep the huge growth rate going, as the company might have seen its peak growth after the massive work-from-home movement in 2020. Zoom also reported a beat on the top & bottom line and I expect them to continue to have another great first half to start 2021, but after that, the company will have very though comps to go against, which might really put some downward pressure on the stock, especially as more people go back to their workplaces. You can see, even the company doesn’t expect the huge growth to continue, with the revenue growth expected to only slightly continue to grow during 2021. Zoom is valued at almost $100B which is really hard to justify unless the company continues to innovate and bring more & more products to the market, as the industry they operate in will only become more competitive over time with other big players like Google, Microsoft, Salesforce & many others looking to take market share. Guys, if you are still in doubt about what to do next in the stock market, you should just take a look at the chart below and start thinking long term, because investing, if you are really looking to make money is all about the long-term. You can see HERE in the past 100 years we've had 8 bear markets previous to the one we saw in 2020, with the average bear market lasting just 1.4years compared to over 9 years for every bull market with a staggering difference in gains vs losses as well. We can also see in this chart that it only took 15 days for the Nasdaq to enter a 10% correction this time, but you can see the average 12 month return after a 10% correction is almost 30% which is huge, with the likelihood of the index posting a positive return in the next 12 months standing at over 90% So, given that we had a bear market last year, I believe it’s highly unlikely that we will see a huge drop in stocks even if yields continue to rise, as the real return of the treasury yields will continue to be close to 0, as I don’t expect them to jump more than 2% for the 10y anytime soon. Moving on, I recently saw some comments made by David Tepper which I wasn’t really aware of but which made a lot of sense to me, he highlighted that the other downward pressure put on treasury yields, which will keep them in check, will come from investors in other countries like Japan, Germany & many others, as the US treasuries have become way more attractive than others. One other thing that I think should be mentioned is that the Dow Jones has continued to make new high after new high in the past week, being led by companies like Disney which has just surpassed 100M subscribers on their Disney+ platform while also getting a boost from their other revenue streams starting to come back online, and of course the stock that has led the DOW in the past week, Boeing, as the company had more sales than cancellations for the first time since November 2019 as the 737 MAX crisis is finally starting to fade away for the company, with even more possible deals likely to close in the next period, as airlines start to have a better view of what the future will bring for them. Friends, you shouldn’t be scared of stock market corrections or dips as we have seen a 10% pullback once every 11 months as you can see, with the frequency of bigger crashes decreasing significantly, but as always, because we are highly emotional beings, it’s very hard for us to handle our emotions after a series of red days. You should remember though, most often than not, the best way to go is just to ride out the dip and even starting deploying more cash into the stock market the more it drops. I think you should develop a strategy of not selling on big red days and deploying an increasingly higher % of your cash into great stocks the more the stock market drops. I also fully expect some part of the next stimulus check, which was just signed by Biden, to end up in the stock market, which might help push the stock market on the right path despite increasing pressures from rising yields and possible short-term inflation fears. So just to end this post guys, is the stock market going to crash? My short answer is NO! I don’t expect that to happen any time soon. Even if we continue to see volatility in the stock market you should use that to your advantage and smartly deploy cash into great companies, which leads me to my other question, should you buy stocks today? Well, at the moment of writing this post, futures are currently trending down pre-market (SP & Nasdaq in the Red, Dow +0.2%) and If they continue to do so it might be a good chance to deploy some cash, but don’t rush into the first red day you see, slowly build your positions or add to them. As a rule of thumb, I like to buy more once a 5% dip occurs in the stock market and slowly deploy cash the more it drops. Thank you everyone for reading???? Hope you enjoyed the content! Be sure to leave a comment down below with your opinion on the stock market! Have a great day and see you next time?   submitted by   /u/0toHeroInvesting [link]   [comments]


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So just to end this post guys, is the stock market going to crash? My short answer is NO! I don’t expect that to happen any time soon. Even if we continue to see volatility in the stock market you should use that to your advantage and smartly deploy cash into great companies, which leads me to my other question, should you buy stocks today? Well, at the moment of writing this post, futures are currently trending down pre-market (SP & Nasdaq in the Red, Dow +0.2%) and If they continue to do so it might be a good chance to deploy some cash, but don’t rush into the first red day you see, slowly build your positions or add to them. As a rule of thumb, I like to buy more once a 5% dip occurs in the stock market and slowly deploy cash the more it drops. Thank you everyone for reading???? Hope you enjoyed the content! Be sure to leave a comment down below with your opinion on the stock market! Have a great day and see you next time?   submitted by   /u/0toHeroInvesting [link]   [comments]
    [visit article]
  10. My Opinion - Is The Stock Market Going To Crash Again In 2021? Should You Buy Stocks Today? Stock Market v Yields & Jobs | Zoom & Nio Opinion (15/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
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These past weeks we also saw jobless claims continuing to go down, with the latest initial jobless claims coming in at the lowest level since last early last year at just over 700K, as the continuing jobless claims also coming in at just over 4.1M. But guys, regardless of the jobs & unemployment numbers, the main thing that will keep investors on edge will continue to be treasury yields, the interest rates and how this are affected by the inflation numbers which are expected to see a huge bump in the next months as we will have very low comps compared to last year when we saw the rona starting to pick up steam. We can see here the core inflation came lower this month with an increase of just .1% which jolted the stock market and started a recovery after the sell-off in the past weeks. Given that tech names & EVs were some of the biggest hit stocks we should also take a quick look at NIO, as the company lost almost half of its value in the past month, dropping from over $66 to just $35 after the big sell off in the past weeks. NIO’s drop was also amplified probably by the fact that they posted mixed results for the 4th quarter of last year, as they just missed the top line but did manage to post a solid beat on the company’s bottom line, losing just $0.14/share. Investors might not have been happy to see a guidance of just 15% above their 4th quarter given the huge valuation and expectations of the company and the huge global chip shortage that will limit NIO’s production capacity to just 7.5K in the 2nd quarter of 2021. I still have a mixed opinion about NIO’s stock, but after this huge sell-off, it has become more attractive given the continued growth of sales the company has seen in the last years, while I also believe NIO will remain one of the winners of the EV disruption. The other stock that I wanted to mention after what has happened in the past weeks is Zoom. I really like Zoom’s products and I understand the hype of the stock, but I also really believe they will struggle to keep the huge growth rate going, as the company might have seen its peak growth after the massive work-from-home movement in 2020. Zoom also reported a beat on the top & bottom line and I expect them to continue to have another great first half to start 2021, but after that, the company will have very though comps to go against, which might really put some downward pressure on the stock, especially as more people go back to their workplaces. You can see, even the company doesn’t expect the huge growth to continue, with the revenue growth expected to only slightly continue to grow during 2021. Zoom is valued at almost $100B which is really hard to justify unless the company continues to innovate and bring more & more products to the market, as the industry they operate in will only become more competitive over time with other big players like Google, Microsoft, Salesforce & many others looking to take market share. Guys, if you are still in doubt about what to do next in the stock market, you should just take a look at the chart below and start thinking long term, because investing, if you are really looking to make money is all about the long-term. You can see HERE in the past 100 years we've had 8 bear markets previous to the one we saw in 2020, with the average bear market lasting just 1.4years compared to over 9 years for every bull market with a staggering difference in gains vs losses as well. We can also see in this chart that it only took 15 days for the Nasdaq to enter a 10% correction this time, but you can see the average 12 month return after a 10% correction is almost 30% which is huge, with the likelihood of the index posting a positive return in the next 12 months standing at over 90% So, given that we had a bear market last year, I believe it’s highly unlikely that we will see a huge drop in stocks even if yields continue to rise, as the real return of the treasury yields will continue to be close to 0, as I don’t expect them to jump more than 2% for the 10y anytime soon. Moving on, I recently saw some comments made by David Tepper which I wasn’t really aware of but which made a lot of sense to me, he highlighted that the other downward pressure put on treasury yields, which will keep them in check, will come from investors in other countries like Japan, Germany & many others, as the US treasuries have become way more attractive than others. One other thing that I think should be mentioned is that the Dow Jones has continued to make new high after new high in the past week, being led by companies like Disney which has just surpassed 100M subscribers on their Disney+ platform while also getting a boost from their other revenue streams starting to come back online, and of course the stock that has led the DOW in the past week, Boeing, as the company had more sales than cancellations for the first time since November 2019 as the 737 MAX crisis is finally starting to fade away for the company, with even more possible deals likely to close in the next period, as airlines start to have a better view of what the future will bring for them. Friends, you shouldn’t be scared of stock market corrections or dips as we have seen a 10% pullback once every 11 months as you can see, with the frequency of bigger crashes decreasing significantly, but as always, because we are highly emotional beings, it’s very hard for us to handle our emotions after a series of red days. You should remember though, most often than not, the best way to go is just to ride out the dip and even starting deploying more cash into the stock market the more it drops. I think you should develop a strategy of not selling on big red days and deploying an increasingly higher % of your cash into great stocks the more the stock market drops. I also fully expect some part of the next stimulus check, which was just signed by Biden, to end up in the stock market, which might help push the stock market on the right path despite increasing pressures from rising yields and possible short-term inflation fears. So just to end this post guys, is the stock market going to crash? My short answer is NO! I don’t expect that to happen any time soon. Even if we continue to see volatility in the stock market you should use that to your advantage and smartly deploy cash into great companies, which leads me to my other question, should you buy stocks today? Well, at the moment of writing this post, futures are currently trending down pre-market (SP & Nasdaq in the Red, Dow +0.2%) and If they continue to do so it might be a good chance to deploy some cash, but don’t rush into the first red day you see, slowly build your positions or add to them. As a rule of thumb, I like to buy more once a 5% dip occurs in the stock market and slowly deploy cash the more it drops. Thank you everyone for reading???? Hope you enjoyed the content! Be sure to leave a comment down below with your opinion on the stock market! Have a great day and see you next time?   submitted by   /u/0toHeroInvesting [link]   [comments]
    [visit article]
  11. The Tell: 3 reasons why the stock market might be able to survive rising bond yields in 2021 (23/02/2021 - Market Watch)
    Rising Treasury yields are contributing to a selloff by the stock market's pandemic highfliers, but probably won't be enough to spoil the appeal of stocks over bonds, one analyst says.
    [visit article]
  12. The Tell: 3 reasons why the stock market might be able to survive rising bond yields in 2021 (23/02/2021 - Market Watch)
    Rising Treasury yields are contributing to a selloff by the stock market's pandemic highfliers, but probably won't be enough to spoil the appeal of stocks over bonds, one analyst says.
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  13. Quantitative Easing Makes Free Market Impossible (11/06/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Everyone knows that the Federal Reserve is engaging in quantitative easing. They are buying billions of dollars worth of bonds each month in order to suppress the yield and encourage investors to put their money into the stock market instead. However, the Fed isn't buying bonds at regular, consistent intervals or rates, they are bought depending on what the stock market is doing. The correlation between the stock market and bond yields is the highest it's been in 15 years (inverse relationship). Have you noticed how low stock market volatility is right now? That's because if the stock market drops, the Fed buys more bonds, the yield drops, people calm down and buy more stocks. If the stock market rises, the Fed allows the yield to rise a little, and excitement is subdued. The Fed is currently 'tuning' the bond yield to control the stock market, specifically keeping it flat. We do not currently have a free market, which means less opportunity for everyone, but nobody seems upset about it. Am I missing something? Anyone else have an opinion? Anyone have an idea what the Fed's end game is?   submitted by   /u/Length_Funny [link]   [comments]
    [visit article]
  14. Experienced stock market people of Reddit, were you able to predict the stock market crash in 2008?Discussion (19/04/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    How was the atmosphere and talks around that time? Were there any rumors or conspiracy theories about the possible crash soon? We all saw "The Big Short" but I wanted to know what the normal retail investor/trader's opinion of that time. Was everyone caught by surprise or there was already increasing talks in the media? I have just started to take keen interest in stock market after March 2020. Please share some of your experience if you can. Thank you.   submitted by   /u/Famateur [link]   [comments]
    [visit article]
  15. Market crash / Hyper inflation? (01/05/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    I see some people about a possible market crash due to the over valued market and also possible hyper inflation due to the spike in US national debt. I have all my money ready to put into stocks that I have researched but wondering if I should hold back, Cathie Wood believes it won't crash but Michael Burry believes it will crash. wait or buy? Which is your call in your opinion.   submitted by   /u/n00bsterzzz [link]   [comments]
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  16. Working in the Stock Market (08/02/2021 - Wallstreet Survivor)
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    It may take more than a much-weaker-than-expected April jobs report to kill the stock market rally, though the popular reflation trade is seeing a modest setback.
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  18. Stock Market Isn't Overvalued - Bond Rates at all time lows, Stimulus coming (27/02/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    1st point: Recently did some research for a college course where I analyzed the Buffett Indicator. For those unfamiliar with the metric, it divides total stock market cap by current US GDP. According to Indicator, the market is overvalued higher than it ever has been. However, if you calculate the correlation between the 10-Year US Treasury bond and the Buffett Indicator over the last 50 years, they are negatively correlated with a coefficient of -.9 (-1 would be perfectly inversely related). Basically, when bond yields are low, the Buffett Indicator (and stock valuations) are higher. If you look at the data from the ".com" bubble in 2000, bond interest rates were still at 6% (average for last 50 years) which means low yields weren't what was juicing the market. We are not in a similar situation as back then. Currently, bond yields are at all time lows and investors have no choice but to put money into stocks if they want a decent return. As low as rates remain at all time lows, the stock market isn't about to crash. 2nd point: More stimulus checks are on the way. While there are many Americans that need this stimulus for everyday expenses, there are also millions of financially stable people who will be getting the stimulus even though that don't need it. Where do you think all this money will be going? If I had to bet it's mostly going into the stock market. Summary - Quit listening to fear mongers talking like the market is about the crash. Even if it corrects 10%-20% we will be fine. The data backs this up. The best time to invest for the long term is and always will be right now. Get in the market and dollar-cost average is it starts to fall (which I don't see a major fall happening until bond rates increase significantly). Current Market Valuation - Buffett Indicator   submitted by   /u/Healthy-Cash8610 [link]   [comments]
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  19. Why I don't believe the market will crash in the next week or two (27/02/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Let me start by saying that I am a bear, and believe this market will implode spectacularly rising bond yields across the globe have a much bigger effect than people think, but I don't think we are crashing today of right now. I really can't see the market crashing before the stimulus or before reopening, however a forward looking market needs something to look forward too, and once the stimulus has passed and we have reopend, that's when I'd be worried. Also bubbles pops always happen after the most ballistic period, I mean the market goes nuts look at dot com, Japan, South sea. And we haven't seen that yet with this bubble. if you are new I would hold and don't panic sell, if you are invested for the long term crash or no crash you will do well.   submitted by   /u/ilai_reddead [link]   [comments]
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  20. Recent China Afterschool Stock Crash (01/08/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    China announced that they will ban all for profit after school tutoring companies which will cause all Chinese education stocks to plummet. How bad does this new stock crash affect companies from getting into the education market in the Asia region? FYI: I’m not very knowledgeable in stocks just a market researcher here   submitted by   /u/idkwhat2putasmyuserr [link]   [comments]
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  21. Market Snapshot: Dow set to edge higher as investors await jobs report following stock-market rout (05/03/2021 - Market Watch)
    U.S. stock-index futures on Friday point to modest gains for the three main benchmarks, after three straight days of losses, ahead of the Labor Department's monthly employment report that comes as investors struggle with a steady rise in bond yields, driven by expectations of economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic in 2021.
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  22. Zoom stock - comparing financial ratios (03/08/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    I recently read that one way you can work out if a stock is overvalued is by looking at EV/EBITDA or P/E ratios across the market. I want to use this to see if Zoom stock is overvalued, but nearly all of Zoom's competitors are conglomerates (i.e. Google for Google Meet, Microsoft for Skype, Cisco for Cisco Webex, etc.), so I'm not sure if directly comparing ratios will be an accurate indicator. What could I do here? Thanks!   submitted by   /u/ABCBAA [link]   [comments]
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  23. Can the stock market please crash already? (01/04/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    I would like the big banks to just admit that they've overleveraged hundreds of hedge funds and that Archegos was just a taste of what's to come. Valuations in the market are sitting 16-32x what they should be and another fire sale(s) could trigger a cascade of panic selling. Someone please tell me how they're comfortable investing in today's market when stocks from March of 2020 to March of 2021 look like a fucking stiletto on the growth chart. There is no justification for a company's stock to gain $30 in one month when it's already sitting at $110. More speculation, more excess dollars and sooner or later it will come to a head. I'm tired of waiting, just get on with the fucking show already.   submitted by   /u/Defiant_Statement_81 [link]   [comments]
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  24. Should we short Zoom (ZM) today? (02/03/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Zoom reported earnings and beat expectations by a lot. In the extended hours, it tried to break through the previous resistance level at 450$ but was rejected and the pre-market price is around 445$. Since I believe that many people have bought the dip in the last two weeks of February, and now have a 20-25% profit should we expect Zoom to drop today?   submitted by   /u/Lemur5000 [link]   [comments]
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  25. The market will be fine (24/03/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Today got a lot of people anxious because it was a fairly poor day, for no obvious reasons. Here is the best explanation i found: https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/23/pension-funds-have-to-buy-bonds-to-rebalance-portfolios-and-that-might-be-good-for-stocks.html In short, it looks like a lot of big pension funds sold a lot of stocks to buy bonds as their quarterly rebalancing. This explains why the Yields actually went down a lot while the rest of the market as a whole was tanking. But if you noticed, one thing did well: FAANG. Why? because analysts expect the yields going down to help the large cap growth stocks. But i think once the large funds are done rebalancing, people will buy back into the market for sure with the low yields, and we should see growth doing better. I think the most important thing is to not panic and hold to our red positions... If the feds was able to save us from a massive covid crash, they can save us from a tiny dip that was caused by literally nothing lol Note: I expect April could still be volatile, but i really think the summer will good to us, and Q4 even better =)   submitted by   /u/Floofyboy [link]   [comments]
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  26. Do any stocks go up during a bear market? (24/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Much as it seems 100% (almost literally) of stocks took a dip in the March 2020 crash and went up since, I am wondering if—in a bear market—ALL stocks (essentially) follow the market? I feel like stocks going up the past year has has little to do with reality (especially as it pertains to any given stock). Example of what I’m wondering (extreme example for effect): It’s a huge sustained bear market. Economy is bad or marginal. Random company has 1000% YoY growth every quarter, and no debt. PE ratio is 3. Foreword looking PE is 1.2. They have received $1 Trillion in non-cancelable merchandise orders. But it is a big bear market.... Will that hypothetical company’s stock price go up in price day to day?   submitted by   /u/peachezandsteam [link]   [comments]
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  27. Isn't "the market will crash" a self-fulfilling profecy? (13/07/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    I mean sure, there are periods where actual hard facts bring the market to a crash. But I'm seeing a lot of "experts" saying the market will crash. Doesn't that kind of make it a self-fullfilling profecy? I mean if investors think the market will crash, the market will crash as they will all start pulling out, crashing the stocks. Seems a bit ridiculous! And it's the last thing we need now, during pandemic recovery.   submitted by   /u/ThePerson_There [link]   [comments]
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  28. How did you learn about stocks and investing? (27/03/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    I want to start investing into the stock market, I see a lot of people my age (20) who know so much about the stock market and investing in general whether or not it’s into the stock market. I know none of you can speak for them, but how did you get to where you are today in terms of stock market knowledge? How did you get started with investing? What did you tools did you use to learn?   submitted by   /u/mynailfelloff [link]   [comments]
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  29. Pre-market is terrible. (05/05/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Europeans wake up, buy stocks, price goes up (pre-market) and when US stock market opens then everyone selling stocks and stock market falls. 3 may, Nasdaq was up like 1%+ pre-market and few hours later NASDAQ was -0.48% It seems to me that americans buy stock at lowest price, on red day. And when next day Europeans buy stock, pump price up and when US stock market is open again, you sell everything. ​ STOP DOING THAT! I keep losing my money like this.   submitted by   /u/MAARJA007 [link]   [comments]
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  30. Is it really worth staying in stock market as an average non-significant retail trader when the stock market is heavily manipulated? (06/03/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    I was reading this article today from Morningstar where it compares today's stock market with that of 1990s. This confirmed the skepticism I have always had with stock market. In the 90s too, small long term investors like me gained very little over the decade, as whatever rises the share prices had made, were usually wiped out by one crisis after another. In fact, I, myself have seen only a gain of less than 15% in last 16 months. Since I entered the market first time in December 2019, the market has seen a deep crash, which I was totally unprepared for and then whatever recovery and gain I made has all been almost wiped out in the past couple of weeks. And all this, despite investing very carefully and diligently, analyzing so many parameters using the tools available in many websites like Morningstar, Etf.com, finviz.com etc. Recent events (GME for example) also suggest that stock market is actually a game between rich big investors or hedge funds. The market is heavily manipulated by them, whenever they like, while we, the tiny insignificant investors are just pawns to them. Hence it makes me think if it's really worth being in the stock market. Investing and risking all your hard earned money, going through all the emotional roller-coaster, only to be manipulated by others and see so little gains. Hence, I'd like to ask experienced ordinary retail traders of /r/stocks, Did these thoughts and observations never come to your mind? What's your perspective on this skepticism I'm going through?   submitted by   /u/its_all_pointless [link]   [comments]
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  31. Stock Market Crash: This Is What a Recipe for a Stock Market Crash Looks Like (23/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
      submitted by   /u/AskPedia [link]   [comments]
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  32. Stock Market Status May 19, 2021 (20/05/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Market Status: Downtrend Once again, our signals prove to be a guide to avoid disaster. More important than getting the best days in the market is avoiding the worst days in the market. Also, having a way to defend your profits or minimize your losses is key to success in the stock market. Today, only the SPY gained a distribution day, but the number of stocks that hit their all-time high marks were well below the target minimum. Sometimes inactivity is the best activity you can do in the market. Why take the chance and buy a stock during a time when the odds are severely stacked against you? ​ https://preview.redd.it/f3udwu6yt5071.png?width=1080&format=png&auto=webp&s=cc09ca0691598e342de30801d437cb039a07ec15   submitted by   /u/Fly-Elevated [link]   [comments]
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  33. July 2021 Stock Power Rankings (28/06/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    I posted this in r/investing and people seemed to enjoy it so I figured I’d share it here as well: I did a lot of research this weekend trying to put together a good list for the best stocks to buy in July. Feedback and ideas are appreciated! Obviously we’re all not gonna have the same opinions but I think this list is a good guide. Let me know what ya think. I’m of the opinion that the market is going to rotate towards beaten down growth stocks but not the ones that are extremely high flyers. For example, some stocks that made the list are those such as AMD, SoFi, and Disney. I think the most controversial part of where I think the market is headed is in regards to Chinese companies. I am of the opinion that companies like JD.com, Alibaba and even though it didn't make my list, Baidu will see significant recoveries in the coming months. Although, I won't rule out the idea of them being value traps entirely and I could understand investor fears relating to them as their is so much uncertainty. Thanks for hearing me out and for any ideas you may have. https://www.fosterfinancialfreedom.com/post/stock-market-power-rankings-july-2021   submitted by   /u/cakegourmand [link]   [comments]
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  34. Does the US economy going down really still affect the US stock market anymore? Considering all the new international investors now. (22/02/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    I keep hearing analyst, in particular Michael Burry warn of the S&P 500 going up when the economy is going down being the catalyst of the next market crash. In the past this has been the case due to limited trading platforms and less international retail / institutional investors. However with all the new international investors (both retail and institutions) pouring into the US market nowadays, does the idea of the US economy going down while stocks are going up being a catalyst for the next market crash, still hold true? For example, i can definitely see a market crash if the US announces a major recession. However wouldn't the international investors see this as an opportunity to buy? Knowing that the US is most likely going to recover in the following years after a crash (as it always does). Apologies if this isn't a well-structured question. I'm still relatively new with investing (this being my 4th year) and english isn't working for me right now.   submitted by   /u/Butt_Lord [link]   [comments]
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  35. 18 year old wanting to invest long-term before going to the army. (12/05/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Hey Reddit I usually lurk around here looking at discussions of certain stocks I'm thinking of investing it but I am in a special circumstance. I'm turning 18 in a month or so and am getting about 2500$ from a trustfund I also have around 1300$ in hand. I will be taking part in the army for 2.5 years so I thought I should invest the money so it can grow and pull it out at 25 or so so I have a good financial base to start with. I've been studying ETFs and individual stocks but have been hearing about a market crash from a lot of sources recently and also I've been looking at crypto since it's booming rn and isn't connected directly to the stock market. I understand that long term investments mean that you shouldn't be too worried about market dips. since Im probably going to be in for around 7 years I'm afraid the crash will affect me more since I don't have too much time to let the market recover but at the same time Might be waiting too long for a crash that wouldn't happen and miss the bull run gains. Is now a good time to get in? Should I wait for the crash and buy low or take the risk and get in now? I'm relatively new to the stock scene but have been studying the market for a few months, what do you think is the best option for me to invest in right now? (I am also contemplating between buying a few picked diverse stocks, a good ETF and dividend Vs growth).   submitted by   /u/_SnickerDoodle_ [link]   [comments]
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  36. Are we in the middle of a correction or signaling to a crash? (10/05/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Every 3 month chart of stocks I look at has gone down. Unfortunately I got into investing 3 months ago, and all my positions are at losses. Now I know that we had a ton of new investors over 2020 and into 2021, but in your opinion why has the market been down so much on individual stocks? I’m still waiting for the right entry for the companies I believe in, and I won’t sell the stocks I have for a loss, I just want to know if you think the bear patterns are signaling towards correction or possible crash? Also thanks govt for devaluing my dollar   submitted by   /u/xSasquatchxX [link]   [comments]
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  37. Stock market crash 2021: here’s what I’d do if it happens (01/03/2021 - The Motley Fool UK)
    As stock market investors we need to be prepared for all possibilities. This includes being prepared for a stock market crash, as we have learned from last year’s experience. Typically, it is unlikely that a big stock market crash in one year is followed by another the next year, but it does no harm to be ready.  Where did the stock market rally go? If we look at the stock market indexes in February, it is evident that the stock market rally has vanished. In fact, there was a fall in the FTSE 100 index average compared to January.  This may not be sustained or result in a market crash. Vaccinations, stimulus, low interest rates, and a growth bounce back are big reasons for the financial markets to stay buoyant.  Unless there is a fresh surge in coronavirus cases or the economy is in a far worse state than any of us imagine at this point, I think UK shares are set to do well in 2021.  What if there is another stock market crash? But if the risks play out, here are the three things I would do.  #1. Buy fear: I’d keep funds aside for investing when share prices are low. Many FTSE 100 shares have more than doubled from the lows they hit when the stock market crashed. In fact, many of them gained soon after. And this includes even those that were the worst hit like travel and tourism stocks.  If I think there is real long-term value to these stocks, I would not hesitate before buying these shares. I reckon that they could double my money in just a few months, but even if they do not, it is a great way to buy high-quality stocks at low prices.  #2. Hold on: I would hold on to my portfolio stocks. Even if at the moment there was little money to be made, I would not like to lose any. All gains and losses are notional until we sell the shares we hold. And a market crash is never the time to sell otherwise higher value stocks.  #3. Load up: This is true for income stocks as well. A low or no-growth income stock can be a real drag on the investment portfolio. Many companies stopped paying dividends last year and, as a result, their share prices fell even further.  But if I had loaded up on those stocks then, today my dividend yield on them would be even better after they reinstated passive income.  The take away In sum, the three things I would do are – buy, hold, and load up on existing holdings. I know it is easier said than done. We really never know whether the path ahead will get better or get worse. But if past stock market crashes are any indication of the trend, then we would be better off getting really optimistic when things go bad. It can be quite good for our investments.  There’s a ‘double agent’ hiding in the FTSE… we recommend you buy it! Don’t miss our special stock presentation. It contains details of a UK-listed company our Motley Fool UK analysts are extremely enthusiastic about. They think it’s offering an incredible opportunity to grow your wealth over the long term – at its current price – regardless of what happens in the wider market. That’s why they’re referring to it as the FTSE’s ‘double agent’. Because they believe it’s working both with the market… And against it. To find out why we think you should add it to your portfolio today… Click here to get access to our presentation, and learn how to get the name of this 'double agent'! More reading 3 UK shares to buy for a Stocks and Shares ISA Could investing in NIO stock today be like buying Tesla in 2015? 2 of the best UK shares to buy this March Royal Mail shares: is it the right time to buy? Can the IAG share price continue climbing after last week’s results? Views expressed in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The post Stock market crash 2021: here’s what I’d do if it happens appeared first on The Motley Fool UK.
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  38. Ever had a dream about market? (18/03/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    I am just curious and wanna know if anyone here has ever had a dream about stock market? Like either about their portfolio or any particular stock they own. Or how about a nightmare about market crash? I personally never had any dreams about market but I started trading only a year and half ago.   submitted by   /u/gorays21 [link]   [comments]
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  39. NewsWatch: Why the stock market’s big rotation can continue even if bond yields stop rising (02/03/2021 - Market Watch)
    Rising bond yields get credit for fueling a rotation away from the U.S. stock market's pandemic winners toward shares of companies more sensitive to the economic cycle. In reality, there's a lot more to it, says one market economist.
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  40. The Tell: Why the stock market’s big rotation can continue even if bond yields stop rising (02/03/2021 - Market Watch)
    Rising bond yields get credit for fueling a rotation away from the U.S. stock market's pandemic winners toward shares of companies more sensitive to the economic cycle. In reality, there's a lot more to it, says one market economist.
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  41. Stock market crash? I’ll keep buying cheap shares, despite these warning signs! (26/02/2021 - The Motley Fool UK)
    As a value investor, I aim to buy into good businesses at sensible prices. As US fund manager Peter Lynch remarked, “A share is not a lottery ticket. It’s part-ownership of a business.” Today, I think the UK FTSE 100 offers outstanding relative value. In particular, big Footsie companies paying chunky dividends look under-priced to me. However, when day traders play the market like a lottery, I fear market bubbles and worry about a possible stock market crash. Looking at today’s frothy prices, can the 12-year bull market in US stocks continue much longer? Alas, when the US market sneezes, UK shares catch a cold. Here are two warning signs that worry me today. 1. Stock market crash? The US tech bubble deflates In the dotcom boom and stock market crash, I watched the Nasdaq tech index soar above 5,000 points in March 2000. I also recall its subsequent collapse, crashing by almost four-fifths to nearly 1,100 in October 2002. It then took 15 years for the Nasdaq to get back above 5,000 points. Some view today’s Nasdaq as bubbly, and a possible trigger for a global stock market crash that pulls down UK shares. The index has soared since 2016, rising 28.2% in 2017, 35.2% in 2019, and 43.6% in Covid-hit 2020. Its only down year was 2018, declining 3.9%. On 16 February, the Nasdaq peaked at 14,175 points. Yesterday, it closed at 13,119, down over 1,050 points (7.5%) in nine days. Though this bubble has let out a little air, US tech stocks remain richly priced. If the Nasdaq declines further, this could be bad news for shareholders worldwide. 2. UK and US bond yields are rising Some pundits claim there won’t be a stock market crash, because dividend yields look attractive versus bond yields. The problem with arguing that stocks are attractively priced compared to bonds is that the bond market has enjoyed a 40-year bull market. With top-rated bonds offering zero or negative yields, perhaps the bond market is another bubble? Like US tech stocks, a little air just escaped from the bond bubble. Since 10 February, the 10-year US Treasury yield has surged from 1.13% to 1.61%, its highest level in a year. Likewise, the UK 10-year Gilt yield today hit its highest level since July 2019. If borrowing rates keep rising, this might trigger a stock market crash, as has happened before. It depends on inflation Bond yields are creeping up because investors worry about higher inflation. If inflation stays subdued, as it has since 2011, then bond yields should drop back. This would make equities appear more attractive, support share prices, and perhaps ward off a stock market crash. If inflation remains under control, that’s great news for British shareholders. Prices might even climb higher from here. But if inflation rears its ugly head, then things could turn nasty for the UK and US stock markets. I could be wrong. I don’t want a stock market crash to happen, not least because my portfolio’s 12-month returns have been excellent. But I think the best place to invest today isn’t in richly priced US stocks. When buying prices are so high, this depresses future returns. Happily, the UK stock market is trading at levels relative to the US rarely seen in 50 years. I see the FTSE 100’s big beasts as offering outstanding value for patient investors. That’s why I’m buying cheap UK shares in 2021 and I’ll buy more if a crash comes! “This Stock Could Be Like Buying Amazon in 1997” I’m sure you’ll agree that’s quite the statement from Motley Fool Co-Founder Tom Gardner. But since our US analyst team first recommended shares in this unique tech stock back in 2016, the value has soared. What’s more, we firmly believe there’s still plenty of upside in its future. In fact, even throughout the current coronavirus crisis, its performance has been beating Wall St expectations. And right now, we’re giving you a chance to discover exactly what has got our analysts all fired up about this niche industry phenomenon, in our FREE special report, A Top US Share From The Motley Fool. Click here to claim your copy now — and we’ll tell you the name of this Top US Share… free of charge! More reading Why is the Pets at Home share price up 4% today? UK house prices forecast to increase nearly 20% in the next decade If I put away £20 a day for 10 years into UK growth stocks, here’s how much I could have The Lloyds share price: what do the latest results mean? The Imperial Brands share price has fallen. Here’s why I’d still pick its 10% yield Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services, such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool, we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The post Stock market crash? I’ll keep buying cheap shares, despite these warning signs! appeared first on The Motley Fool UK.
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  42. Applying Occum's razor to the stock market (17/03/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Looking back at the last year on the stock market, I see a bubble. Many people on this forum confidently proclaim that there wont be another crash anytime soon And that buying this dip is the correct thing to do. That leaves us with 2 possible scenarios. 1st scenario, were in a humongous bubble based on the valuations pre-covid to current valuations and it is currently in the beginning of a major crash. 2000 dotcom crash charts almost perfectly match our current charts. 2nd scenario, pre-covid the entire market was wrong on the valuations for the past several years on stocks. During the pandemic, the public and institutions became lucid to the fact that tech, gambling, weed, ev, ecommerce, btc miners, chinese stocks etc were all wildly undervalued and so the market rightly corrected for this 200% - 1000% deficiency in market cap over the past year. Sub 10 P/E ratios were also wrong and P/E of 30 - 170 is appropriate for the first time in history. Occums razor, the simplest explanation is usually the right answer. Am i to believe that the market was wildly wrong in undervalueing stocks like zm, shop, aapl, tsla etc over the last several years? What does everyone think?   submitted by   /u/ImNotSmelly [link]   [comments]
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  43. Is the stock market still recovering rn? (15/06/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    I can’t tell if the stock market is still trying to recover from the inflation scares in May rn in June or if it’s still trying to move pass the rise in inflation rates and all that? What do you think Is happen in the stock market and what is having a direct impact on it ? When do you guys think we will start seeing bigger daily returns on etfs index funds and mutual funds ? Bc I keep watching the market daily when I can and I’m just seeing it rise and fall and stay at a stagnant pace and not really rising or dipping hard like it was rising early 2021 real crazy or when it hit hard in 2020 when Covid hit? What are we in for on the stock markets future and the feds inflation rate predictions when they meet tomorrow ? And will what they say ease the fear on the stock market ? Do you think In your own opinion that the stock market and the Economy will recover in the short term towards the end of the year and gain more towards the end of the year ?   submitted by   /u/at235 [link]   [comments]
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  44. Undervalued and Overvalued stocks. (07/04/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Hello! I am trying to do as much research about the stock market before purchasing any more stocks. Now I have been reading that there are stocks that are undervalued and some that are overvalued. From what I have been reading, Apple is an overvalued stock. My personal opinion is that it has a great forecast and it's undervalued... and a company I see as overvalued would be Tesla. But then again, I am just starting out. As I'm researching more, I'm reading that we can take a look at a company's balance sheet to determine its value. Apparently, I'm to take the total assets in the balance sheet, subtract the total liabilities... and then divide that total by the number of stocks in the market? And then another number I can compare my results with would be the Market Cap. I take the stock price at that given moment and multiply it by the number of stocks in the market. The total is what the Market currently thinks the company equity is. Is this right? Is this a good way to determine if a stock is over or undervalued? I know there are many more factors that could change the value and equity of the company, such as paying off debts and how they do so. But I think that's another lesson for me to learn. Please help me understand if I'm getting this wrong. I really want to learn and would appreciate all the help I can get. ​ Thank you!   submitted by   /u/Sunniirise [link]   [comments]
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  45. If Citadel can make fake shares of GME to short 140%, couldn’t they make more fake shares to cover their original (fake) shorted shares? (23/05/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Can someone possibly explain to me why I’m wrong. I hope I’m wrong. But the more I think about this the more it looks like a select few people at the top are able to literally create shares, thus controlling the direction of any and all stocks on the market. This basically means the entire stock market, AKA the “free” market is entirely rigged. They might’ve created a huge bull trap for GME if what I’m saying is true and will eventually let it drop to shit with more fake shares pulling the price down. We literally watched them stop the sale of shares earlier this year when GME first went viral. This could of been a moment where they needed to figure out what to do. Once they got everyone at their firms onboard they re-enabled buying shares for meme stocks. Why should anyone be investing in the stock market right now? Will the market crash from this? My original fear from the GME fiasco was a market crash. Then it slowly kept going back up after the initial turbulence. What if these people are making fake shares for the biggest companies out there like Apple and Google in order to create a fake stock market reality. And theoretically they could keep it going or short the market to shit and reap their reward.   submitted by   /u/dirtiestofbuttholes [link]   [comments]
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  46. Am I potentially contributing to a market crash by owning GME stock? (17/04/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    I tried posting this in a GME specific subreddit, but didn’t receive the best response and want a more unbiased opinion. I own just a few shares of GME stock, but am getting concerned that I am contributing to something that will ultimately lead to a crash in the economy similar to 2008. I understand that what Citadel and other major HF are doing, and have been doing, is grossly illegal and unethical. However, from what I have been reading the past few days it seems like if GME sky rockets it will cause a major disruption to some of the major financial institutions and could potential domino effect into a recession similar to 2008. I started getting more concerned once I saw that BofA, Goldman, and JP issued billions in bonds, and tbh that frightens me and made me really concerned that it may signal something big coming soon in a bad way for the stock market. If you remove the unique scenario with GME would what Citadel, big banks, and any other players are doing still result in this type of economic turmoil in the near term? Am i wearing a tinfoil hat by even thinking this is as big of an issue as I’m making it? I just don’t know if I morally justify profiting off something that led to potentially millions of people being financially destroyed. In 2008 my parents, and so many other family members and friends, lost half their 401ks, houses, jobs and so much more. I don’t want to participate in something that could cause that level of hurt.   submitted by   /u/BabaYetu2014 [link]   [comments]
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  47. Many people are seeing a market collapse, I think it's gonna happen soon. Here's some thoughts on the matter. And what should I do? (15/04/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    https://moneymorning.com/2021/02/23/how-we-know-a-stock-market-crash-is-coming-in-2021/ https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/a-stock-market-crash-may-be-imminent%3A-3-things-to-do-right-now-2021-04-10 I really just want to buy a lot of VXX, better traders than me are saying it's gonna happen. Better people that know more than me are saying it's gonna happen. Sometimes they're wrong but as they're saying, the perfect catalyst is there and not enough people are talking about it. If I put a decent amount on VXX now, and it doesn't happen until say November then I'm just wasting opportunities. I keep thinking about this I think it's honestly the best play for right now. That, along with famous meme stock. I know things can be potentially abysmal for this summer depending on several factors, how much people have to spend and how many things are open, along with covid-19 restrictions. This along with certain commodities being hyped like silver. Then, if there's increased civil unrest, we'll have more problems. My gut is saying that we'll see stock market mayhem sometime in June. So I should buy now just in case it happens in May. Or, here's the other thing, we could see it happen after summer when the Q2 earnings reports come in. I'm new to trading, just seeing advice for when to potentially buy VXX. I have no positions. I have a buy order set for a dip on a memestock for $4,000.   submitted by   /u/Esuomyonana [link]   [comments]
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  48. Zoom to Buy Cloud Service Firm Five9 for $14.7 Billion (19/07/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    (Bloomberg) -- Zoom Video Communications Inc. has agreed to acquire Five9 Inc. for $14.7 billion in stock, targeting a cloud service provider that could shore up its popular virtual meeting app. Five9 stockholders will receive 0.5533 shares of Zoom’s Class A common stock under an agreement announced Sunday. The target firm will become an operating unit of Zoom’s after the deal, which is subject to shareholder approval and slated to close in the first half of 2022. Zoom rose to prominence after the pandemic hit in early 2020, becoming ubiquitous as people forced home by lockdowns used the service to connect remotely to work, school, friends and family. But investors have raised concerns this year about whether that growth will continue as vaccinations increase and shutdowns end. Zoom’s stock soared about five-fold during 2020 and its market cap has pushed past $100 billion. https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/zoom-to-buy-cloud-service-firm-five9-for-14-7-billion-1.1630355   submitted by   /u/backup2thebackup2 [link]   [comments]
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  49. How is it possible the stock market is NOT WILDLY over valued? (01/03/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    It seems by every metric the stock market is incredibly over valued, much more so than it was before just before the Great Depression and the .com bubble in the early 2000s. I'm a relatively new investor and I'm really concerned about pumping a lot of my money into the market when it seems like almost every good growth stock is at all-time highs (and it's not even close in most cases). A few articles I've read addressing this issue: https://www.google.com/amp/s/finance.yahoo.com/amphtml/news/warren-buffetts-favorite-indicator-hints-that-stocks-are-significantly-overvalued-182944741.html https://www.google.com/amp/s/siouxlandnews.com/amp/news/local/buffets-right-hand-man-says-us-stock-market-is-overvalued https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.forbes.com/sites/mikepatton/2020/08/18/us-stock-market-hits-record-77-overvalued/amp/ I'm not an economist, but with the Fed pumping money into the economy to get through Covid, multiple huge stimulus bills, and many jobs permanently lost (mostly the lowest paying jobs), it just seems like things will come back down to the earth soon. A major market correction seems inevitable and soon but I'd be interested to get others' thoughts. I have a lot of money sitting in my bank account that I want to invest but I feel like I may be picking a really bad time to enter the market. I know you're not supposed to "time " the market generally, but if I can avoid losing 10% on all of my investments soon after I jump i can't help but try.   submitted by   /u/Zman2k02 [link]   [comments]
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