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19 September 2021
12:09 hour

Thoughts on investing in energy & inflation through OXY/WS?

Reddit Stocks

15/09/2021 - 00:44

I’ve been buying OXY/WS this month, kicking myself for not buying them a year ago when I first learned of them. OXY/WS is the cheapest way to invest in OXY if you believe the share price will go up significantly. They essentially give you the right to buy shares at $22 plus the current warrant price. You have up until Aug 3 2027 to exercise this right. These warrants were issued to OXY shareholders during hard times in 2020, to throw them a bone, but I imagine most bailed as the stock collapsed. Four reasons I like this play are… Rising Free Cash Flow. Occidential petroleum has been benefiting from an increasing WTI crude oil price, hovering around $70/barrel as of today. Last quarter it averaged around $65/barrel, and they had cash flow in that quarter above 2 billion (market cap is currently ~24.4 billion for reference). Cash flow should continue to increase as crude price increases, and they work to pay down their crippling debt. The Crippling Debt is Going Away. No one likes debt, right? Especially crippling debt that might bankrupt you in a sudden, extreme downturn? cough Covid 2020 shutdown cough. Apparently management got the message that their debt load could kill them, and have a plan to reduce debt by over 40%, planning to drop from 34 billion in debt at the end of 2020 to 20 billion in debt at the end of 2022. As debt gets paid down the current interest payments of 300+ million/quarter will reduce to under 200 million/quarter, adding over half a billion extra dollars to their free cash flow! Inflation Hedge. OXY has a lot of hard assets, and if US inflation takes off their stock should rise. An example of these hard assets can be found in their land holdings- they own over 1.35 million acres in the permian basin alone. If inflation is high over the next 6 years, I feel the time value of OXY/WS is being very underappreciated. As of today that time value is under $6 per warrant. Future Energy Needs. Going back to the permian basin, the land that oxy has might one day be reused for alternative energy. Believe it or not, massive solar projects can hit a wall due to environmental groups. Below’s a link of this issue recently cropping up in San Diego County. For some reason, I don’t think Texas will give a damn about environmental issues, making that previously mentioned 1.35 million acres in the permian basin prime real estate for massive solar projects. In addition to solar potential, OXY has also been working on CO2 sequestering using their pre-existing oil drilling footprint. Link Thoughts? I currently have 115 warrants, planning to buy more next payday.   submitted by   /u/ORCoast19 [link]   [comments]


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  45. : Stop new oil and gas investment, leading energy watchdog says in tougher stance on emissions (18/05/2021 - Market Watch)
    The world must stop investing in new oil and gas wells to hit ambitious climate goals by 2050, the International Energy Agency says.
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  46. Best renewable energy ETF? ICLN? (16/08/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Looking to put a few thousand dollar in a long term hold ETF. I feel the renewable energy sector is a good call cause i definetly see this sector booming in the future. ICLN is currently trading at around $22 USD per share as of Friday close. I've heard lots of hype around this ETF, so I'm wondering what others thoughts are on this ETF. Any suggestions?   submitted by   /u/stonkonlygoup95 [link]   [comments]
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  47. Saving Vs Investing: Which is the right fit for you? (19/08/2021 - Financial Express)
    Historically the rate of interest earned in savings accounts and bank deposits has mostly been below the rate of inflation. That’s where investing plays a role.
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  48. Up 46% since Starting Investing 2020 in VOO (30/08/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    This is just wild, starting investing consistently 420 (hehe) a week and the amount I have gotten back is incredible. Currently placing about 60% of my take home into VOO, hoping to start renting out my room for additional income. Currently sitting around $63,000. Any input, thoughts, or opinions of what I am doing? Should I make any changes?   submitted by   /u/Money_Tough [link]   [comments]
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  49. Mutual Funds Weekly: These money and investing tips can help you when inflation is burning a hole in your wallet (15/05/2021 - Market Watch)
    These money and investing stories were popular with MarketWatch readers over the past week.
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