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19 September 2021
13:51 hour

'Dean of Valuation' Aswath Damodaran sees no good points in ESG

Seeking Alpha

15/09/2021 - 00:15


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  1. Interactive S&P 500 valuation by Aswath Damodaran (30/03/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    The following is an interactive S&P 500 valuation by Aswath Damodaran based on his most recent blog post. Users can set risk free rate, speed of change, ERP methods and various other levers to calculate intrinsic value of the index. https://tactyc.io/published/3756   submitted by   /u/anubhav100 [link]   [comments]
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  2. I created a tool that Automates 80% of the DCF process. Sharing in case anyone is interested too. (02/04/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    A DCF is basically how you find the intrinsic value of a stock. I got sick of typing in same stuff for Aswath Damodaran's DCF sheets so I decided to automate a large part of it. Here's an example I did for AAPL: tracktak.com/stock/aapl-us/discounted-cash-flow It's based on Aswath Damodaran's fcffginzu DCF spreadsheet: http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pc/fcffsimpleginzu.xlsx Thanks   submitted by   /u/krisolch [link]   [comments]
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  3. Resources to learn how to calculate intrinsic value and valuation (20/03/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    I'm a little lost in the sauce. I've been looking through a lot of old posts but am kind of overloaded on which information I can trust. I am trying to learn how to calculate intrinsic value but not sure which resource to learn from. Does Aswath Damodaran do a good job in his youtube series teaching this information or do you guys have a better recommendation? Are there other websites or people that teach valuation that I can trust and learn from? I'm more than willing to put in the work to learn but I just don't want to waste my time on someone that's just trying to milk me for views or clicks.   submitted by   /u/Foorius [link]   [comments]
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  4. China's Tech Crackdown: Its about Control, not Consumers or Competition! (Aswath Damodaran valuation of China tech) $BABA $TCEHY (01/09/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
      submitted by   /u/hristopelov [link]   [comments]
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  5. Zomato shares overpriced? Valuation guru Aswath Damodaran estimates true value at Rs 41 only (23/07/2021 - Financial Express)
    Zomato’s stock market debut has ushered in a new era for Dalal Street with new-age technology unicorns on offer for domestic investors; however, value investors are not vying for this piece of the cake.
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  6. Michael Burry Should Have Retired Right After The Big Short: Aswath Damodaran (01/07/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
      submitted by   /u/faf_da [link]   [comments]
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  7. 'Dean of Valuation' to ESG advocates: Stop lying about the movement's costs (16/09/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  8. Dean Foods cant sell on IB (03/06/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Dean Foods was going through a chapter 11 bankruptcy which is a reorganization of debt rather than a liquidation (chapter 7) I have a few hundred bucks worth of Dean Foods stock the ticker was DFODQ but IB has changed this to DFODQ.OLD and says it cant be traded and is offering me a liquidation form where I get $1 for the stock, does anyone know what is happening with this stock?   submitted by   /u/kerplunktard [link]   [comments]
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  9. Free 30+ Year Financial Statements for All stocks & Automated DCF Tool (04/04/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Hello there, I didn't like the fact that yahoo finance only goes back 4 years and gurufocus is paid. Docoh is only US stocks too. So here's a tool which gives you all stocks for 30+ year financials. Financial Statements: tracktak.com/stock/aapl-us/financial-statements Also it has an automated DCF calculator that's based on Aswath Damodaran's spreadsheets if you do discounted cash flows. See here: tracktak.com/stock/aapl-us/discounted-cash-flow Thanks   submitted by   /u/krisolch [link]   [comments]
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  10. Most Don't Beat The S&P 500 Index (05/05/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    As many of you know, the S&P 500 Index is a great way to invest as it reduces all your individual stock risk also known as non-systematic risk and we have been lucky to have had some great years of a strong bull market. Most professionals don't beat the index and only a select few beat it and the ones who beat it usually don't beat it the following year. Why would you or me be able to beat the market? The answer is we probably won't and we are better off just investing in SPY (S&P 500 ETF). We waste time (our most valuable resource) and money to individually pick stocks and in a lot of cases, we don't beat the index and sometimes lose money. One of my favorite investors/teachers Aswath Damodaran said something along this "I pick stocks because I love the process of looking at companies and analyzing them and in the end if I lose money or do worse than the index, I am fine with that because I did something I loved". I pick stocks because I love the process of trying to find "undervalued" stocks and learning more about industries and hoping to make money, but I also own an S&P 500 index. I am okay if I lose money because I knew the risks beforehand. If you don't like the process of researching or spending time looking at stocks, you are probably better of investing in an index. Good luck investing   submitted by   /u/moneytobemade8 [link]   [comments]
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  11. Dean Foods declares $0.10 dividend (18/08/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  12. Apple bull sees '$3 trillion valuation on the horizon' (10/03/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  13. Intel adds Princeton dean to board of directors (19/07/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  14. BMO strategist sees S&P 500 climbing 300+ points by the end of the year (17/09/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  15. Citi boosts Activision Blizzard to Buy on valuation, sees 25% upside (13/08/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  16. SBA Communications gains 1.9% as Raymond James sees Strong Buy on valuation (05/03/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  17. Viasat jumps 3.8% as Raymond James sees Strong Buy on valuation (01/04/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  18. IAC rises 2% as Wedbush sees attractive valuation return after Vimeo spin (26/05/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  19. Accounting problems: How to spot accounting inconsistencies (10/06/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    I have written the following summary with sources mainly from aswath damodaran. Hopefully it helps. Background The advanced accounting system was developed during the industrial revolution for manufacturing firms and since economies are shifting away from manufacturing to technology and service related businesses, accountants have had a tough job keeping up, you will see many inconsistencies reflect the shift away in the economy. Accounting created during a very different century with a different economy. Taxes Tax in the income statement might not match up to what the company pays out as taxes. So that difference shows up as a deferred tax and builds up over time either as an asset or liabilities. On a company’s balance sheet, deferred tax assets & liabilities are reflections of expectations of taxes in the future or due for the current period. For example, if it's a money losing company, it obviously doesn't pay taxes (maybe that could change under the recent G7/French big tech revenue tax proposals for big companies, who knows). It also allows us to take those losses and carry them forward/backwards. You are allowed to take that loss and set it off against the income in a future year. So one of the things to look at is to determine whether there’s a Net Operating Loss (NOL) and; secondly, how much that NOL is; because it will affect your tax payments in the future. Taxes that are paid in the income statement might not reflect what the company actually pays but the giveaway would be to look in the cash flow statement because it will reflect the difference. So combining a cash flow statement with an income statement will give a sense of taxes. Stock based compensation If the company cannot afford (for not having enough cash) to pay salaries to their employees, then they pay with stock (giving away a piece of their company). To the extent that you’re paying with stock to keep employees working for you, it has to be treated as an employee compensation thus means that it’s an operating expense. Some companies also pay stock compensation to give employees an incentive to align them with the company. In 2004, the rules changed for granted options as they were treated as giving away nothing because accountants valued options as exercise value. By looking at the income statements in US/EU companies, if companies do give employees compensation in the form of stocks/options then it will show a line item and that line item reflects the value of the grant at the time of the grant. So it is an operating expense and not a cash flow. When computing the cash flows for a company, we should not be adding back stock based compensation because you are giving away a slice of the equity which will not be attributable to shareholders. The rule now is that if you grant with stock it’s going to be treated as an expense which is the correct way. Leases Let’s assume that the company took the 10-year lease and the contract requires the company to make lease payments every year for the next 10 years. This is called contractual commitment and what that means is that the company has to pay in good and bad years. Because it's a fixed payment where your business will cease to exist if you don’t pay the lease it’s essentially a form of debt and should be treated as such. The accountants made the ownership the center of their decision making, if you don’t have an ownership of an asset, they will not treat these lease commitments as debt. The latter were called operating leases. In 2019, US companies show capital leases as debt and operating leases as operating expenses. In non-US companies, all these lease commitments are often treated as operating lease expenses. So financing expenses were treated as an operating expense. A good example of this was Spirit Airlines 10K in 2020. It looked healthy on the balance sheets but in the footnotes it has a huge amount of leases attributable to Boeing that it was hiding. Now all lease commitments are treated as debt. When you do the computation, make sure that all leases that show up in the balance sheet have to be converted into debt. Otherwise your balance sheet won’t be balanced. Research and Development If you have an expense that creates benefits and generates future growth over many years, it’s a capital expense. If you have an expense that creates only this year, it’s an operating expense. So, R&D should be treated as capital expenditures (CAPEX) even though they are not by accountants. To compute the R&D: specify an amortizable life, how many years does it take; collect R&D from past years. Let’s say it's been spread out over 5 years. How much of that expense is being written off this year and how much is still left over. The amount that’s being written off this year will be amortized will show up as an expense; the amount that’s not been written off from previous years will now show up in the balance sheet (capital invested in R&D); then you have to adjust your earnings, so that the entire perspective on a company can change by making those shifts. If we do not do R&D, we are going to get an asymmetrical vision of what these businesses are worth, how much the company is investing and what they are truly making. Source: Accounting 101 by Aswath Damodaran. My DCF calculator does all this for you (R&D coming soon), if you want to can do your own DCF here. Thanks   submitted by   /u/krisolch [link]   [comments]
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  20. Tyson Foods announces Donnie King to succeed Dean Banks as President and CEO (02/06/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  21. Astra Space jumps after Deutsche Bank sees potential rocket ride for valuation (27/07/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  22. The Ratings Game: Oracle stock shoots up to a record after Barclays says buy, citing ‘good’ cloud products and IT spending recovery (05/03/2021 - Market Watch)
    Shares of Oracle Corp. took off toward a record Friday, after Barclays analyst Raimo Lenschow recommended buying, about a week ahead of the business software company's earnings report, as he sees "undemanding" valuation despite signs of accelerating growth.
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  23. Accounting problems: How to spot accounting inconsistencies (12/06/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    I have written the following summary with sources mainly from aswath damodaran. Hopefully it helps. Background The advanced accounting system was developed during the industrial revolution for manufacturing firms and since economies are shifting away from manufacturing to technology and service related businesses, accountants have had a tough job keeping up, you will see many inconsistencies reflect the shift away in the economy. Accounting created during a very different century with a different economy. Taxes Tax in the income statement might not match up to what the company pays out as taxes. So that difference shows up as a deferred tax and builds up over time either as an asset or liabilities. On a company’s balance sheet, deferred tax assets & liabilities are reflections of expectations of taxes in the future or due for the current period. For example, if it's a money losing company, it obviously doesn't pay taxes (maybe that could change under the recent G7/French big tech revenue tax proposals for big companies, who knows). It also allows us to take those losses and carry them forward/backwards. You are allowed to take that loss and set it off against the income in a future year. So one of the things to look at is to determine whether there’s a Net Operating Loss (NOL) and; secondly, how much that NOL is; because it will affect your tax payments in the future. Taxes that are paid in the income statement might not reflect what the company actually pays but the giveaway would be to look in the cash flow statement because it will reflect the difference. So combining a cash flow statement with an income statement will give a sense of taxes. Stock based compensation Some companies pay stock compensation to give employees an incentive to align them with the company, i.e a lot of the FAANG companies do this to align employees to the companies goals. Also, if the company cannot afford (for not having enough cash) to pay salaries to their employees, then they pay with stock (giving away a piece of their company). This mostly occurs in startups though. To the extent that you’re paying with stock to keep employees working for you, it has to be treated as an employee compensation thus means that it’s an operating expense. In 2004, the rules changed for granted options as they were treated as giving away nothing because accountants valued options as exercise value. By looking at the income statements in US/EU companies, if companies do give employees compensation in the form of stocks/options then it will show a line item and that line item reflects the value of the grant at the time of the grant. So it is an operating expense and not a cash flow. When computing the cash flows for a company, we should not be adding back stock based compensation because you are giving away a slice of the equity which will not be attributable to shareholders. The rule now is that if you grant with stock it’s going to be treated as an expense which is the correct way. Leases Let’s assume that the company took the 10-year lease and the contract requires the company to make lease payments every year for the next 10 years. This is called contractual commitment and what that means is that the company has to pay in good and bad years. Because it's a fixed payment where your business will cease to exist if you don’t pay the lease it’s essentially a form of debt and should be treated as such. The accountants made the ownership the center of their decision making, if you don’t have an ownership of an asset, they will not treat these lease commitments as debt. The latter were called operating leases. In 2019, US companies show capital leases as debt and operating leases as operating expenses. In non-US companies, all these lease commitments are often treated as operating lease expenses. So financing expenses were treated as an operating expense. A good example of this was Spirit Airlines 10K in 2020. It looked healthy on the balance sheets but in the footnotes it has a huge amount of leases attributable to Boeing that it was hiding. A new FASB rule, effective Dec. 15, 2018, requires that all leases—unless they are shorter than 12 months—must be recognized on the balance sheet. Now all lease commitments are treated as debt (unless they are less than 12 months). When you do the computation, make sure that all leases are treated as debt in your valuations including < 12 month leases. Otherwise your balance sheet won’t be balanced. My DCF calculator does all the above for you, check out the iRobot example using our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) calculator or do your own here. Research and Development If you have an expense that creates benefits and generates future growth over many years, it’s a capital expense. If you have an expense that creates only this year, it’s an operating expense. So, R&D should be treated as capital expenditures (CAPEX) even though they are not by accountants. To compute the R&D: specify an amortizable life, how many years does it take; collect R&D from past years. Let’s say it's been spread out over 5 years. How much of that expense is being written off this year and how much is still left over. The amount that’s being written off this year will be amortized will show up as an expense; the amount that’s not been written off from previous years will now show up in the balance sheet (capital invested in R&D); then you have to adjust your earnings, so that the entire perspective on a company can change by making those shifts. Ifa we do not do R&D, we are going to get an asymmetrical vision of what these businesses are worth, how much the company is investing and what they are truly making. Source: Accounting 101 by Aswath Damodaran. Thanks!   submitted by   /u/krisolch [link]   [comments]
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  24. CarLotz jumps after Barrington points to compelling valuation (23/03/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  25. XPO Logistics rallies after Barclays points to favorable valuation (15/04/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  26. If we see more res in the coming weeks, what companies and price points are you looking to add or begin a new position at? (19/08/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    We've had a couple red days and as of me typing this, futures are more than half a percent down. I think now is a good time to think about what your buy points are for anything that may dip. I dont have a huge cash position, bersonally I'd be looking to add to more Microsoft if it dropped to the 275 range and more Google at 2500. I may add a smaller amount to some of my higher multiple tech stocks. Amd in the mid 90s and below, unity if it gets back towards 100 and ase technology around 7.75 all seem like pretty good longer terms investments.   submitted by   /u/RumHam1 [link]   [comments]
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  27. Australia Business Confidence (09/02/2021 - Trading Economics)
    Business Confidence in Australia increased to 10 points in January from 4 points in December of 2020. Business Confidence in Australia averaged 5.08 points from 1997 until 2021, reaching an all time high of 21 points in April of 2002 and a record low of -66 points in March of 2020. The NAB monthly survey of business confidence is based on a telephone survey of around 600 small, medium and large size non-agricultural companies. The Survey measures the expectations of business conditions for the upcoming month and is a simple average of trading, profitability and employment indices, reported by respondents for their company. The indices are calculated by taking the difference between the percentage of respondents nominating good or very good, or a rise and those nominating poor or very poor, or a fall. This page provides - Australia Business Confidence - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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  28. Absci falls to a post-IPO low as Wall Street points to rich valuation of the stock (16/08/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  29. Ooma gains 2% as William Blair sees good potential from roadshow (02/07/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  30. NewsWatch: Should you buy Coinbase? The valuation is ridiculous, based on this math (12/04/2021 - Market Watch)
    Coinbase may be a good company, but COIN, valued at $100 billion, is not a good stock.
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  31. PayPal sees a good start toward 5-year targets on digital trends, new products (10/05/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  32. Outside the Box: Should you buy Coinbase? The valuation is ridiculous (12/04/2021 - Market Watch)
    Coinbase may be a good company, but COIN, valued at $100 billion, is not a good stock.
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  33. Fed Sees Brighter Outlook, but Keeps Rates Steady, Sees No Hike Through 2023 (17/03/2021 - Investing.com)

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  34. Dalio sees 'good probability' bitcoin gets outlawed (24/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
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  35. No-Nonsense College: COVID has made getting into a top U.S. college even more competitive and this new normal looks here to stay (26/04/2021 - Market Watch)
    Selective colleges and universities are seeing a flood of applicants and will likely keep test-optional admissions, says John Latting, Emory University's dean of admission.
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  36. Coronavirus pandemic: How this battery-operated mask could up the fight against COVID-19 (18/07/2021 - Financial Express)
    Devised by SDSOS Dean Dr. Neetin Desai and post-doctoral fellow Dr. Vrushali Joshi, the mask can be used safely even while using mobile phones or headphones.
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  37. New ISB dean designate Madan Pillutla on B- schools in the new pandemic reality (31/03/2021 - Financial Express)
    Currently, an incredibly busy professor of organizational behaviour, a department that he chaired in the past at the London Business School, managed to take time out to speak exclusively to Financial Express online.
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  38. UBER : Do you Think valuation is sustainable ? (11/04/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Do you think UBER will ever be profitable company in the future ? UBER currently trading at $57 with $107 Billion MC and During pre pandemic UBER only trade $30-$40 Max , Now $57 in recovery period Do you think this valuation is fair value for company who lost more than $1 Billion every quarterly. Food delivery : is good during and post pandemic but I don't think it will be enough to make the company profitable. Rideshare: I really doubt if they will ever see the peak demand as high as pre pandemic level again in the near future. Let me know what do you think anyone , Bear and Bull comment welcome here , as always Good Luck on your investment regardless long or short, is your own money due your own DD.   submitted by   /u/Specialist_Listen_23 [link]   [comments]
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  39. Azerbaijan GDP Deflator (28/02/2021 - Trading Economics)
    GDP Deflator in Azerbaijan increased to 96.50 points in January from 92.40 points in December of 2020. GDP Deflator in Azerbaijan averaged 105.35 points from 2006 until 2021, reaching an all time high of 233.70 points in September of 2012 and a record low of 63.90 points in May of 2009. This page provides - Azerbaijan Gdp Deflator- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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  40. Brazil Productivity (26/03/2021 - Trading Economics)
    Productivity in Brazil increased to 90.72 points in January from 70.80 points in December of 2020. Productivity in Brazil averaged 110.64 points from 1988 until 2021, reaching an all time high of 181.87 points in July of 2011 and a record low of 39.60 points in October of 2002. This page provides - Brazil Productivity- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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  41. Bahrain GDP Deflator (07/04/2021 - Trading Economics)
    GDP Deflator in Bahrain increased to 111.97 points in 2019 from 111.70 points in 2018. GDP Deflator in Bahrain averaged 106.96 points from 2002 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 131.30 points in 2005 and a record low of 88.58 points in 2006. This page provides - Bahrain GDP Deflator - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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  42. Slovenia GDP Deflator (26/02/2021 - Trading Economics)
    GDP Deflator in Slovenia decreased to 101.30 points in 2020 from 102.30 points in 2019. GDP Deflator in Slovenia averaged 115.68 points from 1991 until 2020, reaching an all time high of 308.20 points in 1992 and a record low of 99 points in 2010. This page provides - Slovenia GDP Deflator - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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  43. Why high valuation stocks need to come down .... and that’s a good thing. (30/03/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Right now the market is going through a correction with some of the most popular individual stocks that retail investors love. SPCE NIO PTLR to name a few. These valuations have been over the moon lately and mostly by short term traders or investors who want to make a quick buck. Problem is long term investors look at these companies and even ones we like we can’t buy at that valuation. So it leads to the stocks of these companies having huge swings up and down on short term news. These stocks need to come down, which would be a good thing. WHY? Because then it will attract long term investors who actually want to buy in this company and won’t sell even if it goes up 100%. You want long term investors in these companies and unfortunately you don’t have that now.   submitted by   /u/joey-tv-show [link]   [comments]
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  44. CNBC: Analyst Raises S&P 500 End of Year Target +26% from Current Level (12/07/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Among 15 strategists, the median S&P 500 target is 4,325. On Sunday, Dr. Shabir Ally raised his end of the year S&P 500 target to 6,000 points in a Live CNBC interview, watch here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vQOyLEtFGHk "Bull markets don’t die of old age. Significant upside to earnings should more than offset the challenges from valuation headwinds." "Market history says once a bull market starts it can last for years. We're in a meltup phase right now and investors should jump in and ride the bull," says Dr. Shabir Ally. The reason for his bullish take amid the inflation fears and the number he says that is more important to watch than CPI: the bond market. It is signalling patience. He sees meme stocks making new highs end of year, particularly GameStop hitting a target of $500, and AMC hitting a target $120.   submitted by   /u/WatchYourCharts [link]   [comments]
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  45. Is there any justification for NIO's current value? (29/06/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    I hold 10 shares with an average price of 33$, was also part of the early run up getting in at 17$ before it skyrocketed last year. However, I'm conflicted on whether to keep this as a long-term hold or sell now due to it's enormous valuation. I understand that a lot of the market cap is based on it's potential, but is there any good reason to believe it should be valued higher than current dominant car companies like Ford? Even if the best case scenario plays out for Nio and they are a force in the future EV market, do we have good reason to believe they will have a bigger piece of the pie than GM currently does? The only reason I can imagine the current justification would be valid is if we have reason to believe there will be a lot less competition in the future EV market and they will be among a few dominant players as opposed to a more fractured market we currently have. Interested in bullish/bearish takes on their current valuation.   submitted by   /u/DJTAJY [link]   [comments]
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  46. New Zealand Composite PMI (24/02/2021 - Trading Economics)
    Composite PMI in New Zealand decreased to 50.80 points in November from 51.60 points in October of 2020. Composite PMI in New Zealand averaged 53.44 points from 2007 until 2020, reaching an all time high of 59.50 points in July of 2013 and a record low of 24.30 points in April of 2020. This page provides - New Zealand Composite Pmi- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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  47. Montenegro Cpi Transportation (24/02/2021 - Trading Economics)
    The transportation sub-index of the CPI basket in Montenegro increased to 100.90 points in January of 2021 from 99.80 points in December of 2020. Cpi Transportation in Montenegro averaged 102.65 points from 2010 until 2021, reaching an all time high of 109.90 points in October of 2018 and a record low of 92.63 points in February of 2016. This page provides - Montenegro Cpi Transportation- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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  48. Madagascar CPI Transportation (13/03/2021 - Trading Economics)
    The transportation sub-index of the CPI basket in Madagascar increased to 122.70 points in January of 2021 from 122.30 points in December of 2020. CPI Transportation in Madagascar averaged 209.41 points from 2001 until 2021, reaching an all time high of 333.30 points in November of 2015 and a record low of 97 points in March of 2016. This page provides - Madagascar Cpi Transportation- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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  49. Switzerland CPI Transportation (12/02/2021 - Trading Economics)
    The transportation sub-index of the CPI basket in Switzerland increased to 100.95 points in January of 2021 from 99.91 points in December of 2020. CPI Transportation in Switzerland averaged 93.80 points from 1982 until 2021, reaching an all time high of 113.89 points in July of 2008 and a record low of 65.74 points in March of 1983. This page provides - Switzerland Cpi Transportation- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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