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28 July 2021
18:04 hour

Debt Ceiling Debacle Threatens Fireworks in U.S. Money Market

Investing.com

21/07/2021 - 17:16


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  1. Debt ceiling approaching and what's the status and how much should we be concerned? (17/07/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    So it seems that Debt Ceiling is fast approaching, and I did basic google search, but I dont see any insightful article about how much the current treasury is tipped over than legally required debt ceiling and how much investors should be concerned. If anything, like everything else happening in DC, it appears to be power grab in both aisles of the Congress, meaning that if Treasury is currently overspending the debt ceiling, the odd is that market will likely crash (like it used to be in AUG2011), which can be actually good chance if portfolio is well-prepped. I dont think that both aisles of Congress will find some solutions and Senate has dead-end filibuster in my limited political understanding of USA. So can anyone share some ideas of what's the status of debt ceiling, or at least where to take a look to conclude some meaningful ideas?   submitted by   /u/taintmoun [link]   [comments]
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  2. : Yellen warns U.S. debt-ceiling could be hit ‘this summer’ without Congressional action (07/05/2021 - Market Watch)
    Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned Friday that there are some scenarios that show the traditional 'extraordinary measures' her agency has used to stay under the federal debt ceiling during Congressional inaction might not work well this year.
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  3. China Exports of Fireworks & Firecrackers (20/03/2021 - Trading Economics)
    Exports of Fireworks & Firecrackers in China increased to 63317 USD THO in February from 41573 USD THO in January of 2021. Exports of Fireworks & Firecrackers in China averaged 43358.09 USD THO from 1996 until 2021, reaching an all time high of 121286 USD THO in October of 2013 and a record low of 5259 USD THO in February of 2003. This page includes a chart with historical data for China Exports of Fireworks & Firecrackers.
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  4. FED REVERSE REPO CLOSE TO $1 Trillion USD (01/07/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    ​ Hello, Just here to share this https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-01/treasury-bill-supply-cuts-loom-as-debt-ceiling-set-to-return The reinstatement of the federal debt ceiling at the end of July also means the mismatch between low supply of short-term securities and surging demand could get a lot worse. The ongoing imbalance in the front-end has been fueled in part by the Federal Reserve’s bond-buying program and the federal government’s fiscal stimulus. The resulting surfeit of cash in money-market funds has held rates on short-term instruments ranging from bills to repurchase agreements near or below zero since the beginning of the year, and pushed demand at the Fed’s reverse repo facility close to $1 trillion.   submitted by   /u/goattrybe [link]   [comments]
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  5. Are fireworks a play right now? (17/06/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    So I've been hearing more and more news of firework shortages in the US, but from what I'm able to gather the main reason is shipping into the US from China. I can't seem to locate any publicly traded firework retailers on the market, my guess is they will benefit the most. I'm even thinking abt the raw matters like phosphorus, magnesium so on but am slightly struggling on locating company that produces them for fireworks mostly, rather than just broad markets.   submitted by   /u/roytown [link]   [comments]
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  6. What's at stake for markets as U.S. debt ceiling looms (14/06/2021 - Investing.com)

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  7. 'Every time, it's messy:' U.S. again approaching debt ceiling (21/07/2021 - Investing.com)

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  8. : U.S. Treasury officials urge Congress to raise debt-limit (05/05/2021 - Market Watch)
    Treasury Department officials on Wednesday urged Congress to raise the debt limit. A suspension of the debt-ceiling expires on July 31.
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  9. Capitol Report: Yellen turns up heat on Congress to tackle debt ceiling (23/07/2021 - Market Watch)
    Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Friday turned up the pressure on Congress to tackle the debt limit, saying the pandemic has scrambled prior accounting tricks the government used to avoid default on its debts.
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  10. Is USA debt really a debt? (20/07/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    So as i inderstand they consider money printing debt but since its capital the usa doesnt have to pay it back no? This is why inflation happens. But when everyone talks about trillions of US debt its not really a debt right?   submitted by   /u/hefnertes [link]   [comments]
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  11. Now that my student loans don’t accrue interest for another year, what should I do with the money? (08/02/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Obviously I’m going to let my debt devalue by inflation but what should I do with that money instead? Normally I would look 10+ years into the future so I wouldn’t be too worried about market volatility, but since I’m expecting to cash out a large portion of my portfolio next September to lump sum pay off my debt before interest occurs , is it smart to use the cash I would be using for debt to invest in stocks? I’m worried the bubble will pop and I’ll have to liquidate stock at a bad time in order to pay of debt (4% interest) Should I invest in stocks and bank on an increase over the next 12 months, or hoard cash so I can pay my debt off in cash or potentially dump it into stocks during a big dip or even crash? Something in the middle?   submitted by   /u/VonCrinkleDick [link]   [comments]
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  12. Tin foil hat time on inflation. (16/06/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    So we've seen the reverse repo markets hitting crazy numbers, like 580 billion. We know there is too much money in they system from the government stimulating our bank accounts. All the while we are seeing the fastest rate of inflation since 2008 or 92 either way it's high. So my theory to why the fed is letting inflation run hot! It's pretty simple actually, how do you clear the banks balance sheet of consumers excess reserves without hitting the debt ceiling in the reverse repo market. Let inflation run wild, they know we have to spend money on necessities, and that some of us are willing to spend more after being couped up in a house for a year plus. This will take care of the banks, and stop any insolvency for now, kick the can down the road. Also, it will force people to go back to work. This is one of the wildest times in this country, people were making more to stay at home. That's fucking insane! Who would want to go back to work and make less? If this time teaches us anything, it should be that we could whip the "elitist", by going home and doing nothing. Either way, feel free to poke holes in my theory, I'm just trying to make sense of the system.   submitted by   /u/Due_Anywhere300 [link]   [comments]
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  13. Will the unpausing of federal student loan bills and interest in September negatively affect the stock market? (27/07/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    This is something that’s been on my mind for a bit. I’m not suggesting that borrowers will be less able to pay back student loans than before the pandemic. The real question is ‘will money currently invested in equities (and crypto) be redirected by a large portion of retail investors toward student loan payments?’ Here are my assumptions, which are unsupported: Retail investor money makes up a significant percentage of the stock market. Some retail investors have student debt. Some retail investors who have student debt do not have the means to be invested in the stock market at their current level AND meet unpaused student loan payments. The portion of money in the former assumptions is large enough to negatively affect the stock market. *I don’t know or claim this will happen, but would like to hear other thoughts. Personally, I am holding mostly cash, which I’m dollar cost averaging into the entire market as to not totally miss out on great market opportunity while still allowing for cash if a correction/crash occurs. Thanks for reading!   submitted by   /u/Greedy_Leg_4812 [link]   [comments]
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  14. How would universal basic income effect the stock market now. (13/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    I couldn’t see any other posts about this except one that are years old. It seems like more people are throwing money in to the market who have never done so before and people are talking about it and more people are doing the same. I’m curious, if a country gave every citizen 1000$ a month let’s say, how that would effect the stock market, and then society. If, like I’m sure all of you, would get an extra 1000 a month it would go straight to the stock market to turn it into more money and retire early or whatever your goal is. It seems like this would just make inequality even worse, the poorest would probably spend it on debt or better food or on consumption that they couldn’t get before and for people who don’t really need it they would save or invest it. Like a stimulus but more, If all this money is pouring into the stock market every month maybe on the same days the prices would just be insane, constantly going up and the plays you could do to time when people get the UBI would make the market so volatile! Obviously this UBI could be in some form of different currency that can’t be exchanged, maybe even a crypto that can be spent on everything except investments. But then you could just buy something then sell it for dollars and away you go. It’s an interesting thought and I wonder what you think.   submitted by   /u/21ST__Century [link]   [comments]
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  15. Fed debt and market cycles (21/02/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    So with my limited understanding of economy I need some help from the community. My understanding is when the fed debt becomes too high we are basically in for a recession, which would be indicated by the fed raising the interest rates? Now looking at the debt to gdp ratio it's at it's all time high since at least 1929. Wouldn't this mean the second the feds start raising the interest rate the whole market is going to go boom? or am I missing some information here? ​ Source on the debt ratio: https://www.thebalance.com/national-debt-by-year-compared-to-gdp-and-major-events-3306287   submitted by   /u/Syanth [link]   [comments]
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  16. UBS Q1 net income of $1.8B hit by $774M loss due to Archegos debacle (27/04/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  17. Debt Mutual Funds vs FDs: How tax benefits give debt funds an edge to beat inflation (15/04/2021 - Financial Express)
    The debt category of MFs provide a wider choice for parking short-term money and may be used as an alternative investment option for bank FDs.
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  18. Economic Report: Home price growth hits a record high — why homeowners shouldn’t celebrate just yet (29/06/2021 - Market Watch)
    Buyers are facing an affordability crunch that threatens to throw cold water on the housing market.
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  19. Credit Suisse reports Q1 loss of CHF252M after Archegos debacle (22/04/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  20. : Why is there a bicycle shortage? It’s got a lot to do with why fireworks are scarce (04/06/2021 - Market Watch)
    'The demand has exceeded the supply of bicycles on a global level,' one expert said
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  21. Credit Suisse investment bank chief set to leave after Archegos debacle - Bloomberg (05/04/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  22. European shares rally; Credit Suisse cuts dividend after Archegos debacle (06/04/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  23. Distressed debt investments these days? (21/04/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    What distressed debt firms would be good to invest in and take a risk on these days? Can be in any market, preferably the US/UK, and any industry? Global Liman was one I thought of, but would love to hear others' point of view! Probably looking towards junk bonds almost- Mainly something that has a high reward, that could be worth taking a chance on. I also read that the amount of distressed debt has fallen from 1TN to under 100 Billion this year, so that makes it a little bit more tricky on what to pick as a potential investment. Again, could be in any country, so lets hear your thoughts! I’m keen to take a risk with a small amount of money if its worth it!   submitted by   /u/brimful99 [link]   [comments]
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  24. What will actually determine stock prices this week, TREASURY AUCTIONS (07/03/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    The movement in the market, especially with the nasdaq and tech stocks has been DIRECTLY related to treasury note rates, that’s what started this correction we’re in last month. I won’t go into the macroeconomics, there are plenty of posts that talk about the trillions injected, money velocity, m2, inflation.... This week, over 200 billion of US debt is being auctioned to institutions (foreign and domestic). Unless someone or some country or some institution wants to buy US debt for rates that won’t even match inflation, t-note rates must go up, the market will KEEP GOING DOWN. https://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/instit.htm?upcoming With all the money being printed, most buyers have scoffed at the rate of returns on US debt, they’ll only buy if the rates are HIGHER. Thats what caused the rates to go up FASTER and HIGHER than what JPow or Yellen expected. No one wants to buy US debt at low return rates, especially with 5trillion injected in the last year into the open wallets of people and businesses that will certainly cause (already started) inflation. The stimulus itself passing won’t move the institutions, banks, or even hedge funds. The passing of that legislation was assumed in November elections, then fully confirmed after GA runoffs, and then again validated with dropping of the $15min wage. This legislation has been priced in. Don’t be surprised with more corrective days ahead as the treasury auctions happen this week and plan accordingly. TLDR; no one wants to buy US debt that we’re trying to sell from Covid stimulus spending we’re doing for cheap returns -> tech or growth stocks go down.   submitted by   /u/Brokendresser123 [link]   [comments]
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  25. Czech Republic Money Supply M3 (01/03/2021 - Trading Economics)
    Money Supply M3 in Czech Republic decreased to 5256212.37 CZK Million in December from 5320341.49 CZK Million in November of 2020. Money Supply M3 in Czech Republic averaged 2933951.81 CZK Million from 2002 until 2020, reaching an all time high of 5320341.49 CZK Million in November of 2020 and a record low of 1339928.85 CZK Million in June of 2002. In Czech Republic, Money Supply M3 is the sum of M2, repurchase agreements, money market fund shares/units and debt securities with a maturity of up to two years. This page provides - Czech Republic Money Supply M3- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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  26. Goodmorning Traders ... Big move coming will we see fireworks today or tomorrow or both... my 3/31/21 Premarket outlook Technical Analysis on the SPY (31/03/2021 - Reddit Stock Market)
    Good morning Traders, Big move coming will we see fireworks today or tomorrow or both... I will go thru the spy chart in the video below but looking at things this morning here is how to interpret things...premarket outlook 3 31 21 ???? Big move coming will we see fireworks today or tomorrow or both...We have a shortened trading week. Friday will close at noon. Factors in how this week will play out, the end of the quarter and the new month coming and oh let's not forgot president Biden to unveil his economic plan today. I was looking to get some type of pull back so we could have and excuse to bounce on the 1st of the month so far, the pullback has been very minimal. The end of the week is lining up to be and explosive trend day up but today seems to be a blah day waiting on news. Boundaries have been set on both sides so let's see what breaks first. Today's possible outcomes are as follows: 1) Range day structure with consolidation between 395 and 393 area before breaking higher or lower. 2) Break above 395 area for a lopsided range day which opens a path to 400. 3) we hold 395 resistance area and break thru the 393-support area with a retest target of 390. 1) Range day structure with consolidation between 395 and 393 area before breaking higher or lower. 40% probability 2) Break above 395 area for a lopsided range day which opens a path to 400. 35% probability 3) we hold 395 resistance area and break thru the 393-support area with a retest target of 390. 25% probability   submitted by   /u/jmj_daytrader [link]   [comments]
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  27. Misunderstood market fueled by fear mongering (10/05/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    The market is rotating, there will not be a crash, there will not be hyperinflation, there will not be just 2% inflation, commodities are not the only cure as a hedge to protect yourself and neither is yoloing into $PG... CMRE and CRE motgages will bust around the same time the fed will need to change policy and talk/enact rate hikes and bond tapering due to 3-5% inflation (which although high is historically normal) after that we will see a broader 10-25% market correction due to margin debt and valuation models ignoring fundamentals, many currently fair value companies suchs as $LMT $REYN, and $TSM (I would argue 4.1x revenue at $110/share is fair value) will drop leaving smart money an excellent buying opportunity while the mass media and broader market panic sells, hedgefunds are still overleveraging which is the greatest danger to the market currently i.e $BLK but their stocks and funds will not crash down until policy change since borrowing money is so cheap and making money off that regardless of interest is easy. Notice how on a visual like finviz you can see that rotation TLDR: no crash. no hyperinflation. buy the dip in certain stocks,   submitted by   /u/Knarsan [link]   [comments]
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  28. Question about stocks and the money supply (06/06/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Is the growth of the US stock market more or less dependent on a growing money supply in the US? It has to be like that right? Because if the money supply isnt growing then we will reach a cap of how much money can be added to the stock market. Now i know that money from other countries is flowing into the US stock market but that cant be the driving factor for the stock market growth, right? Second question is if there is a guarantee that the money supply will Continue to grow in the long term future? And if it wont, what would happen to the stock market? But if it will continue to grow in the long term, could one say that we have more or less secured future growth in the stock market also? Happy for answers :)   submitted by   /u/Lillgagge194 [link]   [comments]
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  29. Need to Know: Independence Day fun is back, and these stock picks are a play, says small-cap manager (02/07/2021 - Market Watch)
    Break out the fireworks. Americans are looking forward to a slightly cheerier July 4. And there are companies ready to profit off the fun.
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  30. Retail investors left holding the bag when the stock market crashes (13/06/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    The poor retail investor ends up holding the bag when there is a stock market crash. Although there is misleading news by media and other sources, shouldn’t the retail investor do his own independent research extensively? After all it is his money he’s putting at risk... with all this inflation, asset prices rising and rates inevitably due to rise, how can the retail investor not suspect something is going on..? Investing at this top seems insane. It’s like feeling bad for someone who’s heavily in debt but the minute he pays off his car he goes back to the dealership to buy another brand new one, back into the never ending cycle of debt of financially illiterate people. Who is to blame? The media, analysts, the fed, or individuals themselves. I think all. What do you feel and will the stock market be fine or trend down from now?   submitted by   /u/ThePracticalInvestor [link]   [comments]
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  31. Once its strength, water now threatens Germany (23/07/2021 - Investing.com)

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  32. ARK's Cathie Wood weighs in on oil, sees $70 ceiling (11/05/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  33. Parsons bags $600 ceiling U.S. Postal Service contract (23/02/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  34. Market crash / Hyper inflation? (01/05/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    I see some people about a possible market crash due to the over valued market and also possible hyper inflation due to the spike in US national debt. I have all my money ready to put into stocks that I have researched but wondering if I should hold back, Cathie Wood believes it won't crash but Michael Burry believes it will crash. wait or buy? Which is your call in your opinion.   submitted by   /u/n00bsterzzz [link]   [comments]
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  35. Aggressive investing / trading (13/02/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    I’m young (19). I have no debt to pay for at least 4 years. After that I will likely have a decent paid job and I will be stuck in the eat, sleep, work, pay tax, pay debt cycle. I’ve saved up 10k. At the moment I’ve put 2k in apple, 1k in index etfs, 1.5k in ARK, 1k in NIO. 0.5k in PLTR. I plan to keep on investing any more money that comes in. That leaves me 4k (which I’m willing to risk for high returns) I’m looking to grow this as much as possible within 4 years to reduce my student debt. Now yes, I know time in the market beats timing the market. But the stock market has become a hobby of mine. I look forward to the market opening every day - whether it’s up or down. I’m always looking for opportunities. As of now, the majority of my money is invested in relatively safe equities. With the rest I really want to 2/3x my money. Being in the UK, I can do spreads - massive potential for gains and losses. I was thinking of doing spreads but in a swing trade kind of time frame. I would go big, but only on a decent dip on a well structured, stable stock (keeping a safe margin of course). I have made my fair share of mistakes with spreads, ranging from taking oversized bets on meme stocks, to cutting my losses early on stable stocks only for them to rocket to all time highs instantly after. Im just a little unsure on deciding between spreads or swing trading by buying actual shares. Spreads allows me to choose my potential gains and losses based on my risk. I would only have to deposit a fraction of the actual underlying stock price. It’s also tax free (though that doesn’t affect me right now). What would the benefits of swing trades be compared to spreads? At the moment I don’t see any, other than the tiny amount in dividends I may get. With just 4k I wouldn’t be able to make many trades at all and the shares I buy would need to be growth stocks to make a decent return. Am I going about this the right way? Assuming my risk management is good, would spreads be the way to go?   submitted by   /u/theepicone111 [link]   [comments]
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  36. Teen with money just sitting in a savings account (28/06/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    I’m 16 and have a part time job, all of the money from which I don’t plan on touching until college or afterwards. However, this money is currently just sitting in a savings account and I feel like I could be investing it to have it grow. I have a few hundred (gift from parents) invested in the stock market but a relative from a finance background suggests to sell it for now when possible and not put any more money into the market until after the crash they’re all waiting for. I just feel like it’s such a waste to do absolutely nothing with this money. Should I just wait for this crash and if/when it does happen, then what? Should I swing trade or just buy and take dividends? Should I go into ETFs or cr*pto (my post got removed for that word lol) or stick with the stocks I’m currently in (tech and green energy)? And how much money should I invest if I do? I don’t want to put all my money in the market of course. Should I start a retirement fund already? Or am I just being too impatient and should just wait and worry about this later?   submitted by   /u/sadwatermeloon [link]   [comments]
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  37. Your Money: Check solvency position using debt-to-equity ratio (20/06/2021 - Financial Express)
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  38. NYSE threatens to move out of New York City due to proposed tax (10/02/2021 - Seeking Alpha)

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  40. Euro Area Money Supply M3 (25/02/2021 - Trading Economics)
    Money Supply M3 In the Euro Area increased to 14521679 EUR Million in December from 14336834 EUR Million in November of 2020. Money Supply M3 in the Euro Area averaged 5947593.32 EUR Million from 1980 until 2020, reaching an all time high of 14521679 EUR Million in December of 2020 and a record low of 1097404 EUR Million in January of 1980. Euro Area Money Supply M3 is the sum of M2, repurchase agreements, money market fund shares/units and debt securities with a maturity of up to two years. This page provides the latest reported value for - Euro Area Money Supply M3 - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.
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  41. Low Investment Account Transfer Suggestions (14/02/2021 - Reddit Stocks)
    Hi, I am a new member of the subreddit, and a few years ago i invested $100 in a mobile app to explore trading with relatively low risk, due to a small initial investment. Now, I still don't have a lot of money, and after the whole GME debacle recently, I want to pull out of my current account and move elsewhere. I did look at the wiki here, and there are a lot of options, but all of the recent events has left my head spinning, contradicting some of the suggestions on the wiki I'm not sure what I should be looking for in the first place, and some suggestions would be immensely helpful. Right now, I like having no commissions and access to fractional shares, because it doesnt punish my low balance. I'm no sure if there is anything out there for me, but if there is I want to know about it!   submitted by   /u/yeeshue [link]   [comments]
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  46. Smartphone market hits record shipments in Q1 2021; second wave threatens to dampen demand in coming quarters (26/04/2021 - Financial Express)
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